Curragh 14:15 RESULTED
Class 1 24 May 2026

Sunday 24 May Kilkea Castle Marble Hill Stakes (Group 3)

Kilkea Castle Marble Hill Stakes (Group 3) · 6f

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Kilkea Castle Marble Hill Stakes (Group 3)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Great Barrier Reef (IRE) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien
    8/15F
  2. 5/1
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
3
Edward Thatch silks
Edward Thatch
Age 2 · 9-5
31
76
95
2
9-5
13/2 5/1 6/1
Too keen over 5f here (soft to heavy) on debut when evens favourite, fading into third behind the winner Lars Soldier; made no mistake at Cork last time (5f, soft), powering 5.5l clear of the remainder; pedigree suggests better ground will be fine; the pick of the stable's two runners.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Great Barrier Reef silks
Great Barrier Reef
Age 2 · 9-5
1
78
96
2
9-5
8/13 7/16 4/7
Mentioned positively by his trainer at a press event launching the Flat season, he didn't let him down when impressively winning over C&D last month (6f, soft, 4-9); ran greenly that day, so still room for improvement; breeding suggests better ground will cause no issues.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Immortal Guard silks
Immortal Guard
Age 2 · 9-5
1
80
95
2
9-5
14/1 12/1 14/1
Saw off the closing Otherworldly on C&D debut (good); entitled to improve on that, but stable's number one is Edward Thatch.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Lars Soldier silks
Lars Soldier
Age 2 · 9-5
41
79
92
2
9-5
28/1 20/1 22/1
Massive improvement over his 5f debut here (heavy) in March when landing a maiden over the same distance by a nose last time (soft to heavy), beating Edward Thatch in third who ran too keenly and Confucius in second; trainer believes he will handle better ground but may struggle to confirm the form of his win.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Otherworldly silks
Otherworldly
Age 2 · 9-5
2
73
89
2
9-5
10/1 9/1 10/1
Finished 0.5l behind Immortal Guard over C&D on debut (good), denied a clear run on that occasion before making up late ground; should be close between the pair once again but others preferred for win purposes.
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Brazilian Diva silks
Brazilian Diva
Age 2 · 9-2
3
33
44
2
9-2
125/1 80/1 100/1
Cost 12,000 euros as a yearling; well beaten on debut at Dundalk (5f); this looks ambitious.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
3 Edward Thatch 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 Bet365
4 Great Barrier Reef 8/13 open 1.57 4/7 open 1.44 4/7 open 1.44 4/7 8/13 open 1.53 8/13 Bet365
5 Immortal Guard 14/1 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Ladbrokes
6 Lars Soldier 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Otherworldly 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 William Hill
8 Brazilian Diva 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 125/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Edward Thatch

Speculative

Edward Thatch owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Robson De Aguiar David Egan
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Great Barrier Reef

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/13 · A P O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Lars Soldier

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Michael Mulvany
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Edward Thatch
51.5 13/2
2 4. Great Barrier Reef
51.0 8/13
3 5. Immortal Guard
44.5 14/1
4 7. Otherworldly
43.5 10/1
5 6. Lars Soldier
40.8 28/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Immortal Guard
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-5
8/13
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-5
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 9-5
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 2 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Immortal Guard
Confidence: Medium

Immortal Guard leads the field with SR 80 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-5 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Immortal Guard, Lars Soldier, Great Barrier Reef, Edward Thatch, Otherworldly
Each-way: Lars Soldier Danger: Great Barrier Reef

🗺 The Course Class 1

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Curragh Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade