Went up an aggregate 21lb for three handicap wins last season; continuing to improve, judged on Limerick second last month, beaten only a nose; has picked up another 2lb for that but still worth considering.
Form last 610-632
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR82RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Five wins for Johnny Murtagh; signs of a return to form when fourth of 17 here on latest; now 10lb below his last winning mark; one for the short list.
Form last 66-0804
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR87RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
On a long losing streak (since October 2023) but shaped well on several occasions, including on seasonal debut at Leopardstown; less encouraging run at Gowran a month ago.
Form last 6065-36
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR85RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AW winner in February on stable debut; stepped up from Bellewstown third when winning readily over 7f here early in the month; should be in the mix again despite 9lb rise, but not guaranteed to confirm with fifth-placed Java Wood.
Form last 60-1631
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR82RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Stepped up markedly on maiden runs when scoring on handicap debut at Dundalk in January over 7f; needs to step up on the form of her Leopardstown run last month; stable's Summer Island is probably more progressive,
Form last 69-1026
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR87RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Outran 33-1 odds on belated debut in a 7f maiden here last July, missing the break and staying on nicely for third in a 21-runner contest; has failed to build on that in two subsequent starts; potentially interesting with a tongue-tie fitted for handicap debut.
Form last 638-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR87RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Reasonably consistent on AW late last year; has a modest overall strike rate (3-56), but worth bearing in mind that all his wins have come at this track.
Form last 624446-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR86RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Summer Island owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Miss Natalia LupiniPaddy Harnett(5)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Spanish Temptress
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Richard John O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Banner Beauty
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Edward Buckley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Spanish Temptress leads the field with SR 67 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-1 is manageable for a horse of this class.
ShortlistSpanish Temptress, Albion Power, Summer Island, Thaloria, Pretty Omagh Girl