Classy customer in these colours for Gordon Elliott; only his fourth run for current yard when forcing a dead-heat at Perth (3m, good; 3lb lower) and he's versatile trip-wise; likely contender in new cheekpieces.
Form last 673921-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
114SR146RPR145OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Good ground is the key to him; his form had nosedived but he was running much better when hampered late on at the Cheltenham Festival and then came good at Haydock (2m4f, good), prevailing only narrowly but under a confident ride in a strong race (he also won it the season before when staged at Cheltenham); a 4lb rise seems very generous.
Form last 604901-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
115SR149RPR140OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 115 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Made all in major handicap at Cheltenham (2m4f) in December but hasn't completed any of his four subsequent races, the latest after wind surgery (and in a new visor); cheekpieces return and an easy lead would help matters; tailed off in this last year.
Form last 61PPPP-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
104SR148RPR128OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Handicap mark took a hit for his drawn-out hat-trick (third win came after 334 days off) and he's now back from another absence after pulling up on final appearance; very much up against it from 8lb out of the handicap.
Form last 61/12P-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
114SR142RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Riskintheground owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/11Dan SkeltonHarry Skelton
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
American Mike
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · Olly Murphy✓ Value Signal
A Dublin Job
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Sarah-Jayne Davies◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Riskintheground leads the field with SR 115 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.
ShortlistRiskintheground, American Mike, A Dublin Job, Gunsight Ridge, Vintage Fizz