Goodwood 16:52 RESULTED
Class 3 22 May 2026

Friday 22 May Edward Bulmer Natural Paint Handicap

Edward Bulmer Natural Paint Handicap · 7f

948-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Edward Bulmer Natural Paint Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Crimson Spirit (GB) Ray Dawson · Daniel & Claire Kubler
    4/1F
  2. 8/1
  3. 11/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Haydock

13:45–17:15 · 7 races

Goodwood

13:57–17:27 · 7 races

Bath

14:08–18:15 · 8 races

Worcester

16:57–20:41 · 8 races

Downpatrick

17:20–20:30 · 7 races

Pontefract

18:20–20:52 · 6 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Rare Change silks
Rare Change Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-1
600-39
82
80
101
4
9-1
SP
Had bad luck in running over C&D during an otherwise successful spell around this time last year; inconsistent since but has possibilities off current mark provided he takes to refitted blinkers (worn once previously, as a 2yo).
4
Al Arbeed silks
Al Arbeed
Age 4 · 9-9
47-650
90
75
100
4
9-9
8/1 FCST 7/1
Has been unable to sustain early progress and is 0-7 since debut success; ran respectably on penultimate start and is on a reduced mark but chance of doubling his tally largely depends on the effects of first-time headgear.
AI verdict

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Oliver Show silks
Oliver Show
Age 6 · 9-9
795-00
90
72
106
6
9-9
5/1 FCST 9/2
Useful on his day but losing run is mounting up and two duck eggs this year leave a question mark over his current form; chance partly depends on how well he responds to the removal of usual cheekpieces.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Metal Merchant silks
Metal Merchant
Age 6 · 9-9
9/00-0
90
64
103
6
9-9
22/1 33/1 18/1
Showed notable handicap form in 2024 but has posted duck eggs in three runs since that campaign and needs to prove he retains ability; best watched on second run for new yard, unless the market suggests otherwise.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Solar Aclaim silks
Solar Aclaim
Age 5 · 9-8
0930-0
89
80
103
5
9-8
11/1 17/2 9/1
Didn't seem beaten entirely by the 7.5f trip at Chester on seasonal debut but is still seeking a first success beyond sprint distances; not exactly guaranteed to take advantage of being 1lb below last winning mark.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Crimson Spirit silks
Crimson Spirit
Age 5 · 9-5
440-30
86
79
105
5
9-5
6/1 17/2 11/2
Best form at 7f on good/firmer; completed a hat-trick last summer and ran creditably in big field at Newmarket in the first of his two starts this term; chance may depend on the actions of the weather, however.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Mister Bluebird silks
Mister Bluebird
Age 8 · 9-4
238-02
85
82
101
8
9-4
13/2 5/1 6/1
Went close at Musselburgh (7f, good) last time, showing he retains full ability aged eight; dual winner at Goodwood and may remain competitive; gained last three wins on soft ground.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Philanthropist silks
Philanthropist
Age 4 · 9-4
346-71
85
82
103
4
9-4
15/2 11/2 15/2
Took well to first-time cheekpieces at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm) returned to turf with AW reappearance under his belt, taking overall record to 3-13; upped in grade but may have more to offer in the retained headgear; shortlisted.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Kisskodi silks
Kisskodi
Age 4 · 9-0
0415-3
81
87
103
4
9-0
6/1 5/1 11/2
Unraced on soft/heavy; scored four times on turf last term and may resume his progress with creditable AW reappearance under his belt; combined record of 3-4 at Epsom and Brighton bodes well for this first visit to Goodwood, which is quite similar to those tracks; highly respected.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Lunario silks
Lunario
Age 6 · 8-8
748-97
75
90
102
6
8-8
28/1 16/1 28/1
Returns to his ideal sphere (turf) but brings a question mark over his current form, having trailed home last in both AW outings this year; possibly out of his depth to boot, having never won above Class 4.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Rare Change
4 Al Arbeed 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 8/1 Bet365
5 Oliver Show 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 9/2 5/1 Bet365
6 Metal Merchant 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 Coral
7 Solar Aclaim 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
8 Crimson Spirit 6/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 10.00 6/1 open 9.50 13/2 Coral
10 Mister Bluebird 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 Bet365
11 Philanthropist 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
14 Kisskodi 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
15 Lunario 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kisskodi

Speculative

Kisskodi owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 Harry Eustace Cieren Fallon
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Crimson Spirit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Daniel & Claire Kubler
✓ Value Signal

Lunario

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Luke Dace
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 14. Kisskodi
54.6 6/1
2 8. Crimson Spirit
52.8 6/1
3 4. Al Arbeed
49.4 8/1
4 10. Mister Bluebird
49.4 13/2
5 7. Solar Aclaim
48.9 11/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Lunario
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 6 · 9-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 4 · 9-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 8 · 9-4
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-9
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 5 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lunario
Confidence: Medium

Lunario leads the field with SR 90 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Lunario, Kisskodi, Mister Bluebird, Philanthropist, Solar Aclaim
Each-way: Kisskodi Danger: Mister Bluebird

🗺 The Course Class 3

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Goodwood Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade