Bath 14:43 RESULTED
Class 4 22 May 2026

Friday 22 May MJ Church Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

MJ Church Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB Race) · 1m2f37y

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

MJ Church Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Supplicate (GB) Rossa Ryan · Roger Varian
    8/13F
  2. 11/2
  3. 9/4
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
West Hill Rosie silks
West Hill Rosie
Age 4 · 10-0
00
20
40
4
10-0
125/1 80/1 100/1
No worthwhile form in a bumper, a 1m novice or when behind three of today's rivals in a 1m2f maiden.
AI verdict

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Supplicate silks
Supplicate
Age 3 · 9-7
51-
72
44
62
3
9-7
5/6 5/4 4/5
Showed promise on debut last October and justified 5-6 favouritism in 12-runner novice at Lingfield (again 1m on AW) in December; the latter was in workmanlike style but she's bred more for this trip and is open to further improvement, which is needed.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Madrisa silks
Madrisa
Age 3 · 9-5
1
56
70
3
9-5
2/1 18/13 7/4
By Decorated Knight; first foal of an unraced half-sister to dual 1m2f Group 3 winner Extra Elusive and the yard's Group 2 Gimcrack winner Ajaya; 10-1 and blinkered for debut in 12-runner maiden at Lingfield (1m2f, AW) late last month but she was always close up and kept on stoutly to lead in the final strides; the clear form pick in this field and should improve.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Eloquencia silks
Eloquencia
Age 3 · 9-2
32
48
61
3
9-2
9/2 11/4 4/1
Modest form in a small field at Newmarket (7f, good) in April but second of eight to an impressive red-hot favourite in novice at Kempton (1m3f, AW) three weeks later; similar form to most of these and could improve again.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Clarissa Eclipse silks
Clarissa Eclipse
Age 3 · 9-0
4
43
3
9-0
80/1 40/1 66/1
Interesting on pedigree but she showed little when 25-1 in a five-runner novice at Yarmouth (11.5f, good to firm) one month ago.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Last Flight silks
Last Flight
Age 3 · 8-12
7-7
46
61
3
8-12
28/1 14/1 25/1
50-1 when never-dangerous seventh of 12 in maiden at Lingfield (1m2f, AW) last month, which was better than her December debut but winner Madrisa was 8l ahead at Lingfield and reopposes; major work to do despite revised terms.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Spinney silks
Spinney
Age 3 · 8-12
8
45
60
3
8-12
33/1 16/1 28/1
Dam useful at 1m2f-1m4f but this daughter was a 1,000gns yearling and finished behind two of these rivals when 12-1 in a maiden at Lingfield (1m2f, AW).
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 West Hill Rosie 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 open 81.00 125/1 Bet365
2 Supplicate 5/6 open 2.38 4/5 open 2.25 4/5 open 2.25 5/6 open 2.38 5/6 open 2.25 5/6 Bet365
3 Madrisa 2/1 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.38 15/8 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.38 2/1 Bet365
4 Eloquencia 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Clarissa Eclipse 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
6 Last Flight 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Spinney 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Madrisa

Speculative

Madrisa owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 William Haggas Hollie Doyle
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Supplicate

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/6 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Last Flight

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · James Ferguson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Madrisa
48.6 2/1
2 2. Supplicate
43.5 5/6
3 4. Eloquencia
41.9 9/2
4 6. Last Flight
33.0 28/1
5 5. Clarissa Eclipse
32.2 80/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Madrisa
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-7
5/6
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 3 · 9-5
2/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-2
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Madrisa
Confidence: Medium

Madrisa leads the field with SR 56 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-5 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Madrisa, Eloquencia, Last Flight, Spinney, Supplicate
Each-way: Eloquencia Danger: Last Flight

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f37y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade