Goodwood 16:17 RESULTED
Class 1 22 May 2026

Friday 22 May Fitzdares Festival Stakes (Listed Race)

Fitzdares Festival Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m1f197y

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Fitzdares Festival Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Boiling Point (IRE) Shane Gray · K R Burke
    11/2
  2. Second Naqeeb (IRE)
    14/1
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Naqeeb silks
Naqeeb
Age 6 · 9-6
8281-5
110
107
121
6
9-6
12/1 10/1 12/1
Performed well twice over C&D last term but had the run of the race when belying his 33-1 odds for neck success at Listed level in September (good to soft) and looks no certainty to defy a 3lb penalty back here, unless things again fall his way.
AI verdict

SR 107 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Boiling Point silks
Boiling Point
Age 5 · 9-3
421-43
113
119
130
5
9-3
11/2
Defied top weight in the 2025 Cambridgeshire (1m1f, good to firm) and holds a leading chance provided that smart handicap form is reproduced; hasn't transferred it back to Group level this term but he's respected on ratings and is a similar type to last year's winner of this race (for same connections).
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Certain Lad silks
Certain Lad
Age 10 · 9-3
36743-
105
99
119
10
9-3
25/1 16/1 25/1
Multiple winner down the years but 2025 figures suggest age may be catching up with him to some degree; hasn't won a domestic race since 2023 and it's an even longer time since he made a successful seasonal debut.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Enfjaar silks
Enfjaar
Age 6 · 9-3
2/543-
108
107
125
6
9-3
9/2
Unlucky second at Glorious Goodwood in 2024 when bidding for a notable 1m2f handicap double; best effort in a truncated 2025 campaign when fourth to Haatem in Listed grade at Royal Ascot; should be thereabouts, provided he's in top form after ten-month layoff.
AI verdict

SR 107 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Haatem silks
Haatem
Age 5 · 9-3
54136-
112
114
127
5
9-3
11/4 FCST 5/2
Has form on all types of ground; smart performer whose strong CV includes wins in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood as a 2yo and two Royal Ascot contests, more recently last year's Wolferton (1m2f Listed); best figures give him a major chance at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 114 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Involvement silks
Involvement
Age 5 · 9-3
35/013
105
105
119
5
9-3
18/1 16/1 18/1
Missed 2025; last two performances, namely success at Meydan (handicap) and third at Longchamp (Listed), show that he retains plenty of ability; however, has something to find back on home soil.
AI verdict

SR 105 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
La Botte silks
La Botte
Age 4 · 9-3
42-407
102
100
122
4
9-3
11/1 15/2 11/1
Unlucky second in last year's Britannia at Royal Ascot then caught the eye on reappearance; hasn't exactly lived up to expectations in two starts since but remains of interest assuming this new scenario (steps up from 1m) prompts a positive effect; too soon to give up on him.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
2 Naqeeb 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Boiling Point 11/2 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Certain Lad 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Enfjaar 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 Bet365
6 Haatem 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 11/4 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 11/4 Bet365
8 Involvement 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
9 La Botte 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Boiling Point

Live signal

Boiling Point owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 K R Burke Shane Gray
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Haatem

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Richard Hannon
✓ Value Signal

Certain Lad

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Jack Channon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Boiling Point
63.5 11/2
2 6. Haatem
60.8 11/4
3 5. Enfjaar
59.9 9/2
4 2. Naqeeb
56.6 12/1
5 9. La Botte
54.9 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Boiling Point
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 5 · 9-3
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 114 🐾

SR 114 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 9-3
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 107 🐾

SR 107 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-3
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 9-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 107 🐾

SR 107 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-3
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Boiling Point
Confidence: Medium

Boiling Point leads the field with SR 119 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-3 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Boiling Point, Haatem, Naqeeb, Enfjaar, Involvement
Each-way: Haatem Danger: Naqeeb

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m1f197y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Goodwood Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade