Castlecoote Handicap Hurdle · 3m0f25y
SR 96 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 97 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Thornleigh Frank | 8/1 open 15.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Milan Forth | 17/2 open 15.00 | 7/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 15.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Charlie Luciano | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 West Is Awake | 16/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Positive Thinker | 16/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Watching The Clock | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 William Hill |
| 7 Paradise Lost | 11/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Adaliz | 9/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Ilbdare | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Starzov | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Smallcraftwarning | 9/2 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 12 Free Flowing | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Roc My Haarth | 6/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Adaliz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 97 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Watching The Clock (SR 100, 4/1) is the top-rated horse in the field and carries the most favourable weight-to-SR ratio at 11-0 — a clear edge over Thornleigh Frank (SR 96, 11-12) and Charlie Luciano (SR 97, 11-7) who lug significantly more. The 4455-2 form string shows consistent improvement to a placed effort last time out, and at age 5 this is the youngest, most likely progressive runner in a field of older horses. Trainer Padraig Roche's 10% strike rate is respectable and this is a well-priced market leader for a Class structure at this level. The main caveat is DistFit:? and GoingFit:? — insufficient samples at 3m and on good ground — but at 5 years old with a rising form line, those unknowns are acceptable risks against proven but limited rivals. Each-way alternative: Roc My Haarth. Main danger: Roc My Haarth — Roc My Haarth (SR 97, 6/1) carries the lightest weight of the leading contenders at 10-2, posts a form figure of U261-6 showing a recent win, runs for a 9% trainer strike rate operation, and holds a MarkMv:= meaning no penalty since the last win — the light weight in this staying handicap is a genuine asset.