Tassarolo has been knocking on the door in recent starts, finishing third four starts back, and his experience over today's distance and going is a clear plus; drawn seven carrying 140 lb, he lines up fresh enough after 24 days and our figures suggest he holds more ability than his official mark of 58 implies.
Form last 6583754
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR65RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed last time out and with going experience in her favour, No More Hiding shapes as a serious danger at a competitive 134 lb, drawn from stall 13, and 24 days fresh — the concern is that she remains winless in her last five starts.
Form last 6-95852
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR60RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Chapel Island brings strong claims here, ranked top of 14 on our rating with a speed figure of 69, and he has run over today's trip and going — the third three starts back a notable positive in recent starts; the risk is a return just three days ago, plus two modest efforts since.
Form last 6544387
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR68RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won last time out to show he retains ability, but that victory is offset by a patchy recent record — unplaced in three of his last six starts — and 130 lb is a stiff burden; has run over today's trip and going, which at least offers some grounding.
Form last 6060091
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
60SR56RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
All Is Bright returns after a lengthy 283-day absence and is yet to win in her last three starts, with a string of unplaced efforts a concern, though she has the fitness question to answer before she can be properly assessed at a mark of 53.
Form last 6800-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR51RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Limestone Red shaped with real promise when third two starts back and runner-up three starts back, and our rating of 65 ranks him second in this field; he has run over today's trip and going, and 24 days since his last outing suggests he arrives fresh, though remaining winless in recent starts is the concern.
Form last 6488235
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR65RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Aiteall has at least experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour, but an official mark of 51 and a modest recent profile make progress hard to argue for, despite a handy 10-day turnaround.
Form last 605008
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR53RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Ellens Bay does at least have experience of today's going and a third two starts back offers a sliver of form to cling to, though she faces a stiff task against stronger rivals from stall four carrying 126 lb.
Form last 60-0030
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR53RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts with a slipped-up and two ninths among them, Pettus Bridge is hard to fancy from stall 10 off a mark of 44, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 26 days.
Form last 6099S6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR50RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last four starts, The Monday Club at least returns on a quick turnaround of 13 days and has experience of today's going, though a ninth last time out and a ranking of tenth of fourteen leave him with plenty to find here.
Form last 65509
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
38SR50RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Annacroft faces a stiff task, and a trainer without a winner from 22 attempts in the past fortnight offers little encouragement, though she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 69050
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR48RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Autocrat has run over today's trip and going before, but winless in his last six starts and those recent finishes make sobering reading; a modest official rating of 37 is a concern, though our rating suggests he may be better than that mark implies.
Form last 6000986
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR57RPR37OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Idomything is hard to fancy at face value, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a manageable 20-day break carrying 122 lb from stall 11.
Form last 6706008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR45RPR38OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last six starts, with a sequence littered with unplaced efforts and finishes no better than seventh, Jazz Dreamers is hard to fancy at a rating of 34, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns on a quick 12-day turnaround.
Form last 6798007
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR48RPR34OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
No More Hiding owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1A OliverW. J. Lee
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Limestone Red
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · Tracey Collins✓ Value Signal
Idomything
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Thomas Cleary◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Chapel Island (SR:63, 5/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin, which matters even in a competitive lower-grade handicap. The decisive signal is the 29% market shortening — the sharpest move in the entire field — suggesting stable confidence ahead of a run just 3 days ago, implying this is a planned quick turnaround with the horse in form. As A Oliver's yard #1 (Wesley Joyce booking versus the more senior W.J. Lee on No More Hiding is notable — Joyce is the lighter-weighted, cheaper booking, but the market has answered that question emphatically). The weight of 9-5 is reasonable given the SR advantage, and while DistFit and GoingFit both show '-', those negatives are shared across most of this field on a track where going conditions are universal on the day.
Each-way alternative: Chloe's Boy.
Main danger: Chloe's Boy — Chloe's Boy (SR:60, 4/1) posted a '1' last time out, carries a manageable 9-4, has a GoingFit:~ advantage over most rivals on good ground, and is second-favourite — the form figure is the strongest recent evidence in the race.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Only 3 days since last run — form reads 544387, showing a '7' (likely well-beaten) most recently, and quick turnarounds after poor efforts often indicate the yard is fishing rather than confident.
DistFit and GoingFit both '-' specifically for Chapel Island — at 5/1 in a 14-runner handicap, unproven suitability to today's conditions is a material unknown.
Wesley Joyce at 6% strike rate is a notably weak booking versus stablemate No More Hiding getting W.J. Lee (16%) — if Chapel Island were the yard's live one, the senior jockey would ride it.
Chloe's Boy (SR:60, 4/1) is shorter in the market, has a MarkMv of +4 (stable/drifting less), and shows a '1' as most recent form figure — a horse in sharper form despite lower SR could be the real t…
ShortlistChapel Island, Chloe's Boy, No More Hiding, Limestone Red