Winless in her last five starts and unplaced on each of her two most recent outings, Cleopatra's Needle heads into this carrying 133 lb from stall six, though she has experience of today's trip and going and back-to-back second-place finishes three and four starts back hint at ability worth respecting.
Form last 60-2290
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR57RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Flagstone Lady won last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, but her record in recent starts shows inconsistency, and carrying 140 lb from stall 10 may test her further.
Form last 6060831
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
60SR57RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked second of 14 on ratings and drawn in stall two, Ballaghkeen has experience of today's trip and going and is fit enough at 23 days since her last run, though winless in her last five starts, that lack of recent form is the obvious concern.
Form last 66700-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR64RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 13/2.
Winless in his last five starts, Shay's Dream faces a stiff task from stall one carrying 139 lb, and a rating of 54 leaves him towards the foot of the field; he has run over today's trip and going before, which offers some small encouragement.
Form last 6-00890
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR54RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Connecteo shaped with plenty of promise when second two starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour at a rating of 63, making him a genuine danger; the main risk is a return to form after finishing unplaced just three days ago.
Form last 6247620
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR63RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and returning from a 336-day absence, Big Bill carries 136 lb from stall 14, yet his experience on today's going and a rating of 59 mark him as a genuine danger — the main concern is that lengthy absence.
Form last 60760-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR59RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in her last five starts and again unplaced most recently, Sweetie Too heads here just 12 days on from that effort carrying 134 lb from stall three, and while she has run over today's going before, a step forward is needed.
Form last 608450
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR55RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
Winless in his last five starts, with four unplaced efforts including the most recent, Strike De Vega faces a stiff task here; ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, he has experience of today's distance and going, though that is modest consolation given his current form.
Form last 606000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR51RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Trishuli River is the top-rated runner in the field and has run over today's trip and going before, with a third in recent starts offering the most telling form — though she has been winless in her last six outings, she steps up here with fitness intact off a 10-day break carrying 131 lb from stall seven.
Form last 6300806
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR68RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Augusta Rock has run over today's trip and going before and shaped with promise when a second two starts back, but he has been winless in his last five starts and a weight of 130 lb from stall four may not help him bridge that gap.
Form last 68-8525
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR54RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Thegooseiscooked does offer some encouragement — she finished third three starts back and returned a respectable fourth last time out 23 days ago, suggesting she retains some form, though her rating of 44 and 130 lb burden are likely to test her here.
Form last 6-00304
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR53RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, Folk Warrior makes little appeal here despite having run over today's trip and going before; carrying 127 lb from stall 11, his recent string of mid-to-rear finishes leaves little to work with.
Form last 6-54756
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
41SR51RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Haeret In Pectore faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a reasonable 23-day break carrying 126 lb from stall nine.
Form last 65-5060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
13SR37RPR33OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 13 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Kartayaz has been consistently out of the frame and returns after a 133-day absence, making him very difficult to fancy despite having experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 60-8800
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR49RPR35OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last six starts with two nines among the recent finishes, Curious Jane faces a stiff task ranked last on our figures, and while she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a reasonable 28-day break, little in her profile invites confidence here.
Form last 6009559
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR46RPR39OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Folk Warrior owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (23) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2J A NashW. J. Lee
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Connecteo
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · A Oliver✓ Value Signal
Strike De Vega
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · A Oliver◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Flagstone Lady (SR:60, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 3 points above Connecteo (SR:57) and 8 above Augusta Rock (SR:52) — and her 10-0 weight is manageable at this level given her clear SR superiority. Her last-run figure of '1' confirms she arrives in form, and O'Callaghan's 12% strike rate with Reese Holohan aboard adds stable confidence. The 6% drift is a minor concern and must be acknowledged, but no rival combines SR advantage with recent winning form: her SR edge is simply the widest in this 15-runner field and the 5/2 market still makes her the clear public choice. Augusta Rock (SR:52, 9/2) is the main danger — lighter weight at 9-4 and the JP O'Brien yard firing at 16% — but her GoingFit is flagged poor on today's good ground, which undermines her chance on the day.
Each-way alternative: Augusta Rock.
Main danger: Augusta Rock — Augusta Rock (SR:52, 9/2) is JP O'Brien's #1 runner here — better jockey booking in Declan McDonogh, lighter weight at 9-4 giving a 10lb pull on Flagstone Lady, and the yard's 16% strike rate means this is not a token entry, though the GoingFit:- flag on today's good ground is the caveat that keeps her off the top spot.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Flagstone Lady's form reads 060831 — she has finished 6th, 0th, 6th, 8th in four of her last six runs; only the most recent '1' flatters a largely inconsistent profile.
A 6% market drift out in a 15-runner field is notable: bookmakers and informed money are moving away from her, suggesting connections or insiders are not confident at today's track/conditions.
Connecteo (SR:57) is only 3 points behind, has drifted IN 18% (strong market support), ran just 3 days ago indicating peak fitness, and carries 2lbs less — pace and market trajectory both favour the…
At 10-0, Flagstone Lady carries the joint-heaviest weight in the field; in a large 15-runner field on good ground, that burden against younger/lighter rivals at similar ability levels is a concrete h…
ShortlistFlagstone Lady, Augusta Rock, Connecteo, Ballaghkeen