Sam Alexander Memorial Handicap · 6f
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
Nearly gained seventh Ripon win latest but his York record isn't anywhere near as strong
Acts on good to firm and soft ground; won at Thirsk (6f, good) last spring and recorded his second AW win on his Southwell reappearance last month; up 4lb but he still looks feasibly treated and should get a good tow into this race; key player.
5-24; hit by the handicapper after making all at Yarmouth (6f, good) last June, and has taken a while to come back down the weights (now 3lb below that winning mark); posted low-key seasonal reappearance at Leicester; cheekpieces introduced seeking more.
All 12 runs have been on turf and he won twice at Catterick (6f/7f, good) last season; 6lb higher than for his last success but he reappeared with a creditable fourth of 13 at Thirsk last month; should benefit from that run and he's in the mix on this drop back in trip; tongue-tie added.
Reeled off a 6f hat-trick last July but went up 25lb for her troubles; low-key reappearance 17 days and may need another run or two before she is of renewed interest.
Began this year with two Newcastle wins (6f, Tapeta) but he was only eighth of ten there last month; has won over C&D but has a patchy profile and needs to step up again on this return to turf.
All of his four wins have been at Yarmouth (6f, good/good to firm) and latest was in September 2024; well treated on old form but he had a mixed record last season and was well held in the autumn on his final two runs; has a bit to prove after six months off and others are preferred.
C&D winner in 2022, with no joy from nine subsequent visits but most of those were over shorter, whereas his last four wins (elsewhere) have been at about 7f; he's now 1lb lower than when making all at Beverley last September and a case can be made.
Handicapper hit him hard after he made it 2-2 at Leicester off 7lb lower last month and he's struggled in two runs since; hit and miss now and, while it's possible he'll bounce back, others have more pressing claims.
Usually a reliable sort whose five wins have all been over 6f; beaten a head over 5f at Wolverhampton in March and a shade disappointing back on turf subsequently but should give a better performance here.
Won a 6f Ripon maiden last June and stays 7f; 0-13 in handicaps, however, and others present stronger cases despite his career-low mark.
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.
First Folio owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalWon a 6f Ripon maiden last June and stays 7f; 0-13 in handicaps, however, and others present stronger cases despite his career-low mark.
Acts on good to firm and soft ground; won at Thirsk (6f, good) last spring and recorded his second AW win on his Southwell reappearance last month; up 4lb but he still looks feasibly treated and should get a good tow into this race; key player.
All of his four wins have been at Yarmouth (6f, good/good to firm) and latest was in September 2024; well treated on old form but he had a mixed record last season and was well held in the autumn on his final two runs; has a bit to prove after six months off and others are preferred.
C&D winner in 2022, with no joy from nine subsequent visits but most of those were over shorter, whereas his last four wins (elsewhere) have been at about 7f; he's now 1lb lower than when making all at Beverley last September and a case can be made.
All 12 runs have been on turf and he won twice at Catterick (6f/7f, good) last season; 6lb higher than for his last success but he reappeared with a creditable fourth of 13 at Thirsk last month; should benefit from that run and he's in the mix on this drop back in trip; tongue-tie added.
Began this year with two Newcastle wins (6f, Tapeta) but he was only eighth of ten there last month; has won over C&D but has a patchy profile and needs to step up again on this return to turf.
Usually a reliable sort whose five wins have all been over 6f; beaten a head over 5f at Wolverhampton in March and a shade disappointing back on turf subsequently but should give a better performance here.
Handicapper hit him hard after he made it 2-2 at Leicester off 7lb lower last month and he's struggled in two runs since; hit and miss now and, while it's possible he'll bounce back, others have more pressing claims.
Reeled off a 6f hat-trick last July but went up 25lb for her troubles; low-key reappearance 17 days and may need another run or two before she is of renewed interest.