Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap · 1m1f170y
Rolled back the years with a front-running 1m2f win at Ripon ten days ago; only has a 4lb penalty to deal with and Jake Dickson is good value for his 7lb claim; unlikely to get a soft time of things up front though.
Had a productive time of things in 2025 when the visor went on, winning on four occasions, including over this C&D last June; well beaten on the AW at Newcastle in November and he was too free on his comeback run at Ripon (1m2f, good) 19 days ago; may take a step forward from that but will need to.
Having a fine year, winning for the fourth time when scoring at Ripon 13 days ago (1m2f, good); still feasibly weighted but previous 1m4f efforts haven't seen her convince with her stamina.
Relatively lightly raced 4yo who ended last year with wins at Nottingham (1m2f, heavy) and Musselburgh (1m4f, soft); started this season with a low-key effort but she may have needed that run and still has scope for further progress; not ruled out dropped back in trip and grade.
His five wins include one over C&D last May; below his best on his first two starts this year but took a step back in the right direction when a 2l fifth of 12 at Ripon (1m2f, good) 19 days ago; contender.
All five wins have been at around 1m2f on good or quicker; last success was off 5lb lower but he reappeared with a fair third in Class 4 event over C&D (good to soft) last month; should go well on this drop back in grade and it would be a positive if the ground dries out.
Four wins (6f to 8.6f) on AW since December; perhaps stretched by 1m2f when only fourth at Ripon a fortnight ago; returning to a mile should help but a career best is needed to defy this mark.
Record of 2-32 on turf, latest win at Ripon last August (1m2f, good); two fair runs over same C&D this season; a possible.
1m AW winner for James Fanshawe as 2yo and ran some good races last year off higher marks than this; has form at up to 1m3f but struggled on stable debut at Doncaster last month and needs to leave that form well behind.
11yo who won three times last year, including this race (good to firm); this front-runner has been placed at Pontefract (1m, good) and Ripon (1m2f, good) on his last two starts; 3-5 at Ayr and he's on the shortlist.
First win was on turf (7f) and last two have been on Tapeta (8.6f); reached the frame in two starts at Wolverhampton in December but he had a major blip there the following month; had another wind operation since and needs a major revival after four months off.
Veteran with 12 wins but he's lost his way and has struggled after slow starts in both runs this spring; has something to prove and he needs to turn things around back up in trip.
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.
Star Cast owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalHaving a fine year, winning for the fourth time when scoring at Ripon 13 days ago (1m2f, good); still feasibly weighted but previous 1m4f efforts haven't seen her convince with her stamina.
Relatively lightly raced 4yo who ended last year with wins at Nottingham (1m2f, heavy) and Musselburgh (1m4f, soft); started this season with a low-key effort but she may have needed that run and still has scope for further progress; not ruled out dropped back in trip and grade.
All five wins have been at around 1m2f on good or quicker; last success was off 5lb lower but he reappeared with a fair third in Class 4 event over C&D (good to soft) last month; should go well on this drop back in grade and it would be a positive if the ground dries out.
His five wins include one over C&D last May; below his best on his first two starts this year but took a step back in the right direction when a 2l fifth of 12 at Ripon (1m2f, good) 19 days ago; contender.
Four wins (6f to 8.6f) on AW since December; perhaps stretched by 1m2f when only fourth at Ripon a fortnight ago; returning to a mile should help but a career best is needed to defy this mark.
11yo who won three times last year, including this race (good to firm); this front-runner has been placed at Pontefract (1m, good) and Ripon (1m2f, good) on his last two starts; 3-5 at Ayr and he's on the shortlist.
Had a productive time of things in 2025 when the visor went on, winning on four occasions, including over this C&D last June; well beaten on the AW at Newcastle in November and he was too free on his comeback run at Ripon (1m2f, good) 19 days ago; may take a step forward from that but will need to.
Rolled back the years with a front-running 1m2f win at Ripon ten days ago; only has a 4lb penalty to deal with and Jake Dickson is good value for his 7lb claim; unlikely to get a soft time of things up front though.