Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap · 6f17y
His last three wins have come on the AW at Newcastle but he is effective on turf and this mark shouldn't be beyond him; stall 15 is a severe hindrance though.
Behind Buddy Batt and Lethimfly here in March but later posted a career-best RPR when winning over 6f back here in April and can be forgiven his subsequent defeat at Chester; hard to leave out of calculations.
All four wins have been on AW and she's 0-11 on turf; finished placed a few times on good or quicker ground last summer but she's been quiet in both runs this season and others are more persuasive.
Well suited by a left-hand turn, winning twice here over 5f last summer; promising seasonal return at Catterick (6f, good) but he wasn't in the same form at Musselburgh (5f, good) nine days ago; handy draw and he can't be discounted.
Only won one of his last 28 starts but has slid to a competitive mark as a result and was unlucky not to finish closer behind The Good Biscuit and Jonny Concrete at Chester (hampered late); holds each-way claims.
Won twice for Harry Charlton, both over 6f on Lingfield's AW track; didn't get the chance to show what he could do (repeatedly denied a clear run) when eighth of 12 on recent Chester return for new yard; left the impression he'd have been involved in the finish with more luck and enters calculations.
Closed out last season with a pair of soft-ground wins and has resumed in good form off his revised mark, latterly when having two of these behind at Chester last weekend; adaptable as regards ground and tactics, and can't be discounted.
Has done nothing but progress since the visor went on, winning five of his last eight starts (including C&D) and going up 31lb in the weights; off for eight months since winning at Goodwood in September and will need another career-best off this mark.
Wouldn't judge him too harshly on his Chester reappearance (not well drawn) and he is slipping to an attractive mark; drying ground won't suit though.
Second to Kats Bob over C&D (good to firm) last year off 3lb higher; has resumed in good form this spring, following Chester near miss with a close second of 13 to reopposing Mae Amor at Hamilton (6f, good) last Sunday; obvious chance off the same mark; second-time blinkers replace regular cheekpieces.
Has done well on AW for current yard, completing a remarkable eight-timer along the way; failed to transfer the form back to turf last time, taking record in this sphere to 0-10; bit to prove off same mark.
Yet to win a handicap but he went close at Nottingham last October and again finishing second on last month's reappearance at Lingfield (6f, AW); this is more competitive but he isn't fully exposed.
Met trouble when fifth at Chester (6f, good) a fortnight ago but there were no apparent excuses when filling the same position at Newmarket last Saturday; the type to click for this yard before long but others are stronger today.
Well handicapped without obviously shaping as if ready to take advantage
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.
Rosenpur owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSecond to Kats Bob over C&D (good to firm) last year off 3lb higher; has resumed in good form this spring, following Chester near miss with a close second of 13 to reopposing Mae Amor at Hamilton (6f, good) last Sunday; obvious chance off the same mark; second-time blinkers replace regular cheekpieces.
Closed out last season with a pair of soft-ground wins and has resumed in good form off his revised mark, latterly when having two of these behind at Chester last weekend; adaptable as regards ground and tactics, and can't be discounted.
Well suited by a left-hand turn, winning twice here over 5f last summer; promising seasonal return at Catterick (6f, good) but he wasn't in the same form at Musselburgh (5f, good) nine days ago; handy draw and he can't be discounted.
Behind Buddy Batt and Lethimfly here in March but later posted a career-best RPR when winning over 6f back here in April and can be forgiven his subsequent defeat at Chester; hard to leave out of calculations.
Met trouble when fifth at Chester (6f, good) a fortnight ago but there were no apparent excuses when filling the same position at Newmarket last Saturday; the type to click for this yard before long but others are stronger today.
Yet to win a handicap but he went close at Nottingham last October and again finishing second on last month's reappearance at Lingfield (6f, AW); this is more competitive but he isn't fully exposed.
Only won one of his last 28 starts but has slid to a competitive mark as a result and was unlucky not to finish closer behind The Good Biscuit and Jonny Concrete at Chester (hampered late); holds each-way claims.
Won twice for Harry Charlton, both over 6f on Lingfield's AW track; didn't get the chance to show what he could do (repeatedly denied a clear run) when eighth of 12 on recent Chester return for new yard; left the impression he'd have been involved in the finish with more luck and enters calculations.
Wouldn't judge him too harshly on his Chester reappearance (not well drawn) and he is slipping to an attractive mark; drying ground won't suit though.