Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kokbastau owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/6Roger VarianRay Dawson
92%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Waterford Castle
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
2/1 · George Boughey✓ Value Signal
Traveling Man
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · Charlie Fellowes◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Kokbastau (SR:153, 15/8) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin over Seacole (SR:142), carrying a standard 9-6 with no weight penalty. The 23% market inward move since opening is a strong confidence signal — money is backing this horse with purpose despite 292 days off the track, suggesting connections are happy with its preparation. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) into a maiden where the next-best SR is 142 gives it a further structural edge. Roger Varian's 18% strike rate across 586 runners is a solid platform, and a 15/8 market price reflecting genuine support makes this a credible favourite for good reason.
Each-way alternative: Seacole.
Main danger: Waterford Castle — Waterford Castle (SR:100, 11/8) carries an 18% market inward move and Billy Loughnane booking for a George Boughey yard at 17% strike rate — the class drop (↓1) and persistent placing form (-22227) suggest this horse could outrun its SR if the form lines have been compressed by tougher company, though the negative GoingFit on Good to Firm is a genuine concern that may blunt its challenge.