Fairyhouse 19:20 RESULTED
1 Jul 2026

Wednesday 1 July GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap · 1m160y

Official Result

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kirkland Sioux (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
  2. Second Kc Bear (IRE)
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Only One Scobie silks
Only One Scobie
Age 3 · 10-1
060013
71
71
71OR
3
10-1
13/2 7/2 13/2
Winning by five lengths at Leopardstown two runs ago highlighted his ability, and while he faces a 7lb rise in the weights today, his latest third is best read with lenience — he went for home prematurely when dropped back in distance. Progressive on the right terms, he appeals as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Fortuity silks
Fortuity
Age 3 · 9-11
9-0216
67
66
67OR
3
9-11
5/1 9/2 4/1
Landed a half-length success here on her penultimate outing and returns to a mark just 4lb higher than that winning effort. Sixth last time out was consistent with her rating, and she handles 7f on this surface; first-time cheekpieces fitted, and with form holding up, the frame is a realistic target.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Hippology silks
Hippology
Age 3 · 9-10
5-00
66
57
66OR
3
9-10
6/1 15/2 11/2
Beaten well down the field in his most recent maiden, he showed little but was visibly inexperienced and this looks an easier opening opportunity. He handles 8-10f with some cut and has been off 57 days; from a trainer with a strong record at the track, he could improve switching to handicap company.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.

4
Avec Grand Plaisir silks
Avec Grand Plaisir
Age 3 · 9-9
0-753
65
63
65OR
3
9-9
SP 9/2 7/1
Third on handicap debut at Cork most recently, beaten 4½ lengths in decent shape after stepping down in grade — a solid if unspectacular introduction to the discipline. He likely stays 10f and handles this surface, though a performance upgrade is needed to get involved here.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
John La Bear silks
John La Bear
Age 3 · 9-9
00441-
65
60
65OR
3
9-9
14/1 FCST 11/1
His latest handicap at Dundalk produced an opening success — by 1¼ lengths off a mark 6lb below today's — and he could still be ahead of the assessor. The lengthy absence of 210 days is a concern, and the yard has struggled for winners lately, but first-time tongue-tie suggests connections are treating the return seriously.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Love Orchid silks
Love Orchid
Age 3 · 9-9
864-59
65
38
65OR
3
9-9
22/1 FCST 20/1
Held at the back of the field in her last handicap at Roscommon, she has failed to make an impression in recent starts and has yet to score in her last five. First-time blinkers fitted, and she handles the range of going, but at the foot of our figures there is too much to prove.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

7
Jp's Express silks
Jp's Express
Age 3 · 9-8
56-600
64
37
64OR
3
9-8
25/1 33/1 20/1
Pushed wide from an awkward stall in his latest handicap at Leopardstown, the finishing position overstates how badly he went. He handles 7f on cut ground and all-weather surfaces, though a recovery in form is needed to register any meaningful progress here.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

8
Kc Bear silks
Kc Bear
Age 3 · 9-8
831-24
64
71
64OR
3
9-8
4/1 7/2 4/1
Held up in his usual manner here last time, he met interference at a pivotal moment and was left needing to do far too much from off the pace — the 2¼-length defeat off a mark 1lb higher than today's reads better than it looks. Consistent and effective over this trip, he should have every chance with a clear passage.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Kirkland Sioux silks
Kirkland Sioux
Age 3 · 9-8
0757
64
52
64OR
3
9-8
17/2 11/1 8/1
Held at Limerick last time after a tardy start left her needing to work hard to get into the race, but her trainer has an excellent record at today's track. She handles 8-12f and acts on yielding ground, though today's distance may be on the shorter end of her range — a touch more pace might not suit.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

10
Avoca Woods silks
Avoca Woods
Age 3 · 9-6
809
62
36
62OR
3
9-6
25/1
Down the field in his latest maiden at Dundalk, he has produced a consistently moderate level of form and steps into handicap company for the first time today. His breeding suggests staying distances may suit better — today's 8f trip could be shorter than ideal — and a marked improvement is required.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

11
Cisterna silks
Cisterna
Age 3 · 9-6
053175
62
63
62OR
3
9-6
8/1 13/2 15/2
Landed a narrow success at Roscommon three runs ago on a mark 5lb lighter than today's, and his latest fifth is best excused — he encountered trouble having been asked to cover too much ground up in trip. Back at today's mark and 6-7f looks his range; a fair each-way prospect if stamina holds up.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Make The Tide silks
Make The Tide
Age 3 · 9-5
866
61
48
61OR
3
9-5
12/1 FCST 11/1
Held at Leopardstown on her latest start in a manner suggesting she wanted a stiffer test, she handles 7-8f and goes well on soft and good ground. The booking of a leading track jockey is a positive, and she could well improve making her handicap debut — the opening mark is the question.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

13
Retro Gal silks
Retro Gal
Age 3 · 9-4
77-78
60
46
60OR
3
9-4
11/1 14/1 10/1
Well beaten at Limerick on her handicap debut — she faded late over a trip that stretched her — but the signs suggest 7-8f should be more to her liking. The type to improve as she gains experience in handicap company, though the current evidence is limited.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

14
Dawn Flame silks
Dawn Flame
Age 3 · 9-1
814900
57
45
57OR
3
9-1
16/1 FCST 14/1
Out of form at present, he was well down the field in his most recent handicap at Leopardstown having failed to land a blow. First-time tongue-tie fitted today, and while he drops below his last winning mark, the form figures suggest a sharp turnaround is needed to feature.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

15
Schoolyard Days silks
Schoolyard Days
Age 3 · 8-8
60-858
50
31
50OR
3
8-8
22/1 22/1 18/1
Beaten nine lengths at The Curragh last time in a fashion that suggested the trip was too far, she is more at home over 5-6f and the shorter range could bring out the best of her. First-time cheekpieces today, but she has yet to produce consistent form and improvement is required.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Only One Scobie 13/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 4.50 15/2 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 5.00 15/2 Coral
2 Fortuity 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
3 Hippology 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Avec Grand Plaisir 7/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 17/2 Coral
5 John La Bear 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral
6 Love Orchid 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Jp's Express 25/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Kc Bear 4/1 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Coral
9 Kirkland Sioux 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 Bet365
10 Avoca Woods 25/1 28/1 28/1 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 28/1 Coral
11 Cisterna 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 9.00 17/2 Coral
12 Make The Tide 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 12/1 Bet365
13 Retro Gal 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
14 Dawn Flame 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 16/1 Bet365
15 Schoolyard Days 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kc Bear

Speculative

Kc Bear owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Noel Meade Colin Keane
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Fortuity

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Mrs John Harrington
✓ Value Signal

Avoca Woods

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Jack Foley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Kc Bear
51.2 4/1
2 2. Fortuity
49.9 5/1
3 1. Only One Scobie
49.4 13/2
4 4. Avec Grand Plaisir
47.0 -
5 3. Hippology
45.5 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Only One Scobie
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-10
6/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.

1
Age 3 · 10-1
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-8
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

13
Age 3 · 9-4
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Age 3 · 9-5
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 9-1
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Only One Scobie
Confidence: Medium

Only One Scobie leads the field with SR 71 and is trading at 4/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-1 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Only One Scobie, Kc Bear, Fortuity, Avec Grand Plaisir, Cisterna
Each-way: Kc Bear Danger: Fortuity

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m160y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Fairyhouse Track and setting