Thirsk 13:38 RESULTED
Class 5 1 Jul 2026

Wednesday 1 July British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)

British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 6f

Official Result

British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Arapaho Gold (IRE) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods
    2/9F
  2. 14/1
  3. 8/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Arapaho Gold silks
Arapaho Gold
Age 2 · 9-11
1
154
2
9-11
3/10 7/16 5/17
Debut winner at this course, taking a maiden by 2½ lengths while still showing some inexperience — barely needing to be fully extended. A physically imposing type with plenty of scope, he acts on today's trip and ground and looks well capable of further progress off a short break.
AI verdict

Arapaho Gold's perfect form and dominant Saturday Rating of 154 justify favouritism at 1/2, though 9-11 weight tempers the ceiling slightly.

2
Harry Who silks
Harry Who
Age 2 · 9-4
141
2
9-4
12/1 17/2 10/1
Space Blues colt purchased for 22,000 euros, a half-brother to a very smart performer over a mile and a quarter — the dam also excelled at that trip, suggesting stamina on both sides. One to monitor in the market on debut, though there is plenty to find on figures.
AI verdict

Harry Who's 141 Saturday Rating shows solid potential, but 10/1 odds and non-favourite market position suggest limited confidence.

3
Mangham silks
Mangham
Age 2 · 9-4
8
122
2
9-4
125/1 FCST 66/1
Beaten well clear of the field in a novice at Carlisle on his sole start, he showed very little on that occasion and is extremely hard to fancy against this group.
AI verdict

Mangham's 80/1 odds and single-run form figure of 8 signal minimal market confidence despite carrying 9-4.

4
Scarlet Dynasty silks
Scarlet Dynasty
Age 2 · 9-4
136
2
9-4
25/1 11/1 20/1
Supremacy colt who cost 9,000 euros, a half-brother to a very useful 6f performer — though the dam showed her best form at a much longer trip, creating mixed signals for today's distance. Faces a stiff enough ask on debut.
AI verdict

Low Saturday Rating of 136, unfancied at 14/1 in the market, and no visible form justify just 2 stars.

5
Brixworth Bandit silks
Brixworth Bandit
Age 2 · 9-1
74
142
2
9-1
22/1 10/1 20/1
Showed clear improvement when fourth at Carlisle latest, beaten six lengths in a novice after a difficult debut, and he handles today's trip on good ground. Connections landed this race last year; he is still searching for his first success but has shown enough to have a live chance here.
AI verdict

Mid-range Saturday Rating of 142, weak form figures of 74, and 11/1 odds suggest a contender with limited credentials.

6
Claret Time silks
Claret Time
Age 2 · 9-1
5
133
2
9-1
28/1 16/1 20/1
Showed flashes of ability on debut at Redcar, beaten nine lengths in a novice, and there is reason to think he can build on that over today's distance on good ground. First-time hood fitted; the trainer's recent strike rate gives some pause.
AI verdict

Long odds of 18/1, a single run showing fifth in form, and a Saturday Rating of 133 combine to suggest limited winning prospects.

7
Mick's The Boy silks
Mick's The Boy
Age 2 · 9-1
8
137
2
9-1
18/1 12/1 16/1
Showed traces of ability on debut in a seller at York, finishing eighth beaten just over seven lengths, and he acts over today's trip on good ground. Improvement is anticipated and would make him a factor; needs to deliver on that promise to be competitive.
AI verdict

Long odds of 14/1, a single form figure of 8, and a Saturday Rating of 137 suggest limited winning prospects here.

8
That's All Right silks
That's All Right
Age 2 · 9-1
133
2
9-1
25/1 18/1 20/1
Ardad colt whose dam was placed over seven and eight furlongs — a modest pedigree profile that makes limited appeal, and the overall picture gives little encouragement for a debut success. Hard to make a case for him in this field.
AI verdict

Outsider odds of 18/1 and a modest Saturday Rating of 133 indicate little market confidence in this lightly-regarded runner.

9
Travellers Girl silks
Travellers Girl
Age 2 · 8-13
4
148
2
8-13
17/2 13/2 6/1
Finished fourth on debut at Ripon, closing ground in the final stages to be beaten three lengths — handled today's distance on good ground and showed ability. She needs to find more to take this but the quality of opposition here looks within her reach.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 148 and single-run form figure of 4 at 7/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.

10
Noccalula Falls silks
Noccalula Falls
Age 2 · 8-10
127
2
8-10
50/1 28/1 33/1
Soldier's Call filly who is a full sister to a useful performer over a mile — an interesting breeding angle, and the handler is in good current form. Nevertheless, she rates as an outside chance on debut despite those positives.
AI verdict

Long odds of 33/1, unknown form, and a Saturday Rating of 127 mark Noccalula Falls as an outsider with limited winning prospects.

11
Roman Crystal silks
Roman Crystal
Age 2 · 8-10
6
127
2
8-10
66/1 FCST 40/1
Below-par debut at Ripon, finishing sixth well beaten in a maiden over today's trip — hard to warm to on that evidence. She is open to improvement as a juvenile but a notable step forward is needed to get involved here.
AI verdict

Long odds of 50/1, a single form figure of 6, and a Saturday Rating of 127 mark Roman Crystal as a outsider with little winning evidence.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Arapaho Gold 3/10 open 1.50 2/7 open 1.50 2/7 open 1.50 3/10 open 1.50 3/10 open 1.44 3/10 Bet365
2 Harry Who 12/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
3 Mangham 125/1 open 81.00 80/1 80/1 80/1 66/1 125/1 Bet365
4 Scarlet Dynasty 25/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 12.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Brixworth Bandit 22/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 11.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Claret Time 28/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Mick's The Boy 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
8 That's All Right 25/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Travellers Girl 17/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365
10 Noccalula Falls 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Roman Crystal 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 40/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Arapaho Gold

High conviction

Arapaho Gold owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/10 Michael Dods Connor Beasley
88% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Travellers Girl

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

17/2 · Roger Fell
✓ Value Signal

Scarlet Dynasty

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Gemma Tutty
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Arapaho Gold
74.5 3/10
2 9. Travellers Girl
64.1 17/2
3 2. Harry Who
62.8 12/1
4 7. Mick's The Boy
56.3 18/1
5 4. Scarlet Dynasty
56.3 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Arapaho Gold
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-11
3/10
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Arapaho Gold's perfect form and dominant Saturday Rating of 154 justify favouritism at 1/2, though 9-11 weight tempers the ceiling slightly.

9
Age 2 · 8-13
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 148 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 148 and single-run form figure of 4 at 7/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.

2
Age 2 · 9-4
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 141 🐾

Harry Who's 141 Saturday Rating shows solid potential, but 10/1 odds and non-favourite market position suggest limited confidence.

7
Age 2 · 9-1
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 137 🐾

Long odds of 14/1, a single form figure of 8, and a Saturday Rating of 137 suggest limited winning prospects here.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Arapaho Gold
Confidence: Medium

Arapaho Gold leads the field with SR 154 and is trading at 1/2. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-11 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Arapaho Gold, Travellers Girl, Brixworth Bandit, Harry Who, Mick's The Boy
Each-way: Travellers Girl Danger: Brixworth Bandit

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade