Bath 20:18 1 Jul 2026
Class 5 1 Jul 2026

Wednesday 1 July MJ Church Handicap

MJ Church Handicap · 1m

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Voting open
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Swiped Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Post Rider silks
Post Rider
Age 5 · 10-2
182-73
75
70
75OR
5
10-2
11/2 9/2 11/2
Third at Goodwood on her latest start after a promising comeback run, she is effective at this distance and handles firm ground well. Her mark looks high enough but she is hitting form at the right time and remains a clear danger.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Nakaaha silks
Nakaaha
Age 4 · 10-0
-02556
73
65
73OR
4
10-0
9/2 7/1 9/2
First-time hood for a filly who ran below her recent level when beaten six lengths at Newbury eight days ago. Her handicap mark continues to ease and she handles this distance and going, though she needs to do more.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Sant Alessio silks
Sant Alessio
Age 5 · 9-10
021-07
69
68
69OR
5
9-10
13/2 11/2 6/1
Holds course and distance form on a sound surface but has been well below his best this term, including when ridden too aggressively and beaten clear at Salisbury last time. A revival is needed but the ability is there.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Thiscouldbefun silks
Thiscouldbefun
Age 4 · 9-5
164-60
64
47
64OR
4
9-5
11/1 18/1 11/1
First-time cheekpieces for a filly now back down to the mark at which she last struck, and she handles any ground over this sort of trip. However, she had little excuse when well beaten at Salisbury last time and needs to show more.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Swiped silks
Swiped
Age 3 · 9-4
55-521
72
82
72OR
3
9-4
5/6 9/17 8/11
Landed a handicap here last time by two and a quarter lengths, benefiting from a drop in class and extra trip, and he is suited by this distance and sound surface. First-time blinkers and he still looks ahead of the assessor.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Naval Ensign silks
Naval Ensign
Age 4 · 9-0
6-1584
59
51
59OR
4
9-0
28/1 16/1 25/1
First-time hood and tongue-tie as she attempts to build on her latest run here, where she was fourth after meeting interference when making her challenge. Inconsistent and held up, she faces a stiff task at these weights.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Ebn Sabt silks
Ebn Sabt
Age 3 · 8-7
146770
61
40
61OR
3
8-7
100/1
First-time blinkers for a gelding who has been out of form for several starts, most recently finishing down the field at Wolverhampton. He handles this distance on artificial surfaces but is hard to fancy here with his turf figures uninspiring.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Post Rider 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
2 Nakaaha 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 Betfred
3 Sant Alessio 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 13/2 13/2 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Bet365
4 Thiscouldbefun 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Swiped 5/6 open 1.57 5/6 open 1.53 5/6 open 1.53 10/11 open 1.57 8/11 open 1.53 10/11 William Hill
6 Naval Ensign 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Ebn Sabt 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Swiped

Speculative

Swiped owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/6 Ralph Beckett Edward Greatrex
84% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Nakaaha

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Grace Harris
✓ Value Signal

Naval Ensign

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Nikki Evans
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Swiped
58.7 5/6
2 2. Nakaaha
50.3 9/2
3 1. Post Rider
50.1 11/2
4 3. Sant Alessio
47.3 13/2
5 4. Thiscouldbefun
41.5 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Swiped
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-4
5/6
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-0
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-2
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-10
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-5
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Swiped
Confidence: Medium

Swiped leads the field with SR 82 and is trading at 4/7. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-4 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Swiped, Post Rider, Sant Alessio, Nakaaha, Naval Ensign
Each-way: Post Rider Danger: Sant Alessio

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m Distance to cover
Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade