Catalyst Finance British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f12y
Odds of 40/1 and weak form figures of 35 expose Adoramus as a 123-rated outsider with little market confidence.
Captaincy's strong 154 Saturday Rating and competitive 10/11 odds justify 4/5 stars despite showing only one form run.
A Saturday Rating of 129 and single-figure form of 7 at 20/1 odds offer little market confidence.
At 9/1 with a Saturday Rating of 142 and carrying 9-7, Desert Legend shows mid-tier potential without market confidence.
Weak 25/1 odds and an unknown form record undermine the strong 124 Saturday Rating, limiting confidence to 2/5.
Long odds of 33/1 and unknown form make Hey Dude a weak Saturday Rating 123 outsider despite carrying 9-7.
Long-shot odds of 33/1, a single run showing seventh in form, and a weak Saturday Rating of 123 justify just 2 stars.
A single sixth-place run and 16/1 odds signal untested ability, despite a competitive 136 Saturday Rating at 9-7.
Long odds of 22/1 and unknown form make Its A Ginger Thing a weak 125-rated outsider with little market confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 146 at 7/1 odds suggests significant market underestimation despite carrying 9-7.
A Saturday Rating of 154 and strong 4/1 market position support this second-placed form horse at 9-2.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Adoramus | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Captaincy | 4/6 open 1.91 | — | 4/6 open 2.00 | 4/6 open 2.00 | 4/6 open 2.00 | 4/6 open 1.91 | 4/6 Bet365 |
| 3 Cutlass | 25/1 open 15.00 | — | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 4 Desert Legend | 11/1 open 10.00 | — | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Hemustbeanangel | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Hey Dude | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Igrok | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Il Capo | 20/1 open 26.00 | — | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Its A Ginger Thing | 28/1 open 19.00 | — | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Never Enough | 7/1 | — | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Absolute Diamond | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Captaincy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCaptaincy's strong 154 Saturday Rating and competitive 10/11 odds justify 4/5 stars despite showing only one form run.
A Saturday Rating of 154 and strong 4/1 market position support this second-placed form horse at 9-2.
Strong Saturday Rating of 146 at 7/1 odds suggests significant market underestimation despite carrying 9-7.
At 9/1 with a Saturday Rating of 142 and carrying 9-7, Desert Legend shows mid-tier potential without market confidence.
A single sixth-place run and 16/1 odds signal untested ability, despite a competitive 136 Saturday Rating at 9-7.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Captaincy (SR 154, 10/11) is joint-highest rated alongside Absolute Diamond but holds a 5lb weight advantage over the filly (9-7 vs 9-2), which on Good to Firm ground over 6f12y is a meaningful edge. His form figure of '3' on debut suggests a solid introduction against what was likely a competitive juvenile field, and Clive Cox — a trainer with an excellent record bringing on 2yo sprinters — is clearly sweet on this horse given market confidence at 10/11. The SR of 154 is comfortably clear of all rivals bar Absolute Diamond and Never Enough, and the market has priced him as a strong favourite for good reason. Each-way alternative: Never Enough. Main danger: Absolute Diamond — Absolute Diamond (SR 154, 4/1) matches Captaincy on SR and her debut '2' at 9-2 suggests she's already been competitive at this level — David Evans placing her in a Windsor novice suggests course familiarity, and at 4/1 she represents genuine each-way value if Captaincy underperforms.