Put his experience to good use when a half-length winner on debut at Brighton, showing a willing attitude, and he is bred to handle this step up to 7f; his debut form has since been given mixed assessments, but he looks a genuine threat under a penalty if it holds up.
Form last 61
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
148SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Sole win in form offers promise, but 9/2 odds and non-favourite market status limit confidence despite a 148 Saturday Rating.
A 20,000gns St Mark's Basilica colt whose dam was successful over 10f in France on her second start; there is a staying pedigree here that could suit this trip in time, but with no previous form the market will be the best guide to his chance on debut.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
121SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
High weight of 9-4 and 25/1 odds reflect market skepticism, while a Saturday Rating of 121 fails to inspire confidence.
A 37,000 euro Ten Sovereigns colt whose dam was a consistent performer over 6-7f on artificial ground, so this track type could play to his strengths; it is a tough ask on first appearance and he is likely to need the experience, but the breeding has some relevance here.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
137SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Sanbona Warrior's solid 137 Saturday Rating warrants interest, but 14/1 odds and unknown form limit confidence to three stars.
Failed to handle the track at Ripon last time, where he was beaten nine lengths having been left behind once the race quickened; the dam's stamina means 7f should suit better, and this is a big, attractive type who looks capable of better on an artificial surface.
Form last 6358
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 57, weak form figures of 358, and 12/1 odds reflect limited winning prospects for Super Alpha.
A Time Test gelding who is a half-brother to the high-class Fox Legacy, giving him strong stamina credentials for this trip; his dam went close on her debut suggesting a racing instinct in the family, and he rates a genuine threat based on pedigree alone despite being unraced.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
145SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Mid-range Saturday Rating of 145 and 9/2 odds suggest market respects but doesn't favour The Monkey King at 9-4.
Green under pressure but still got the job done by three-quarters of a length on debut at Leicester, and there is clear scope for improvement as he learns the ropes; acts over this trip and should take a notable step forward — the trainer's recent record is the one reservation.
Form last 61
★AI Rating★★★★☆
154SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong Saturday Rating of 154 and winning form back a 7/2 market chance carrying 9-1.
Showed nothing in a Nottingham maiden where he raced far too enthusiastically to deliver any kind of effort; first-time cheekpieces are applied to help him relax and the trainer has been in good form, but he needs to settle dramatically better before he can be trusted.
Form last 60
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 33/1 and a single form figure of 0 make Big Bad Storm an unlikely contender despite carrying 9-1.
Shaped with real encouragement on debut at Leicester where he finished strongly once the early gallop petered out, getting within 4 1/2 lengths of the winner; acts over 7f and likely to stay further, and with natural improvement expected for that first-run experience he is a serious threat here.
Form last 63
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 150 with solid 3-form but unfancied at 9/2 and not favourite, limiting confidence despite reasonable market position.
Showed significant inexperience at Bath on his only start, unable to demonstrate any ability in what was a very green debut; the pedigree offers mixed stamina messages and he is bottom of our figures, with much to prove before he can be backed with confidence.
Form last 60
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
40/1 outsider with a single run showing no form, carrying 9-1 weight and a low 127 Saturday Rating signals minimal winning prospects.
By top-class sprinter Harry Angel and a half-sister to the very smart Firmament, with her dam Heaven Sent a top-class middle-distance performer, so there is plenty of quality and versatility in the pedigree; 7f looks within range and the market is worth monitoring for her debut.
★AI Rating★★★★☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 150 and competitive 4/1 odds at 8-13 weight signal strong winning prospects despite unknown form.
Well beaten on debut at Bath without ever getting competitive, but she is bred with speed and some stamina in the mix for 7f; the concern is that she appeared to need more experience, and significant improvement will be required here.
Form last 68
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 125 is undermined by 66/1 odds, poor form figure of 8, and no market support.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Abrahamsen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Archie WatsonPierre-Louis Jamin
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Angel Of Heaven
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · James Fanshawe✓ Value Signal
Baarberini
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · James Horton◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Abrahamsen (SR 154, 7/2) is the highest-rated runner with actual race experience, carrying just 9-1 — 10lb less than Extended Order and 2lb less than Duke Of Burgundy. His solo win on debut gives concrete evidence of ability, and Archie Watson is a trainer who targets novice races with well-prepared juveniles, regularly landing this type of prize. The four-star AI probability rating and market position as marginal favourite reflect genuine confidence rather than blind sentiment. The weight advantage over the other experienced runners is decisive: SR 154 off 9-1 comfortably outperforms the raw numbers of rivals carrying more.
Each-way alternative: Angel Of Heaven.
Main danger: Angel Of Heaven — Angel Of Heaven (SR 150, 4/1) carries the lightest weight in the shortlist at 8-13 and is trained by James Fanshawe, whose unraced two-year-olds frequently hit the ground running — a well-backed debut could see her SR translate directly into a winning performance.
ShortlistAbrahamsen, Angel Of Heaven, Duke Of Burgundy