Kempton (AW) 19:15 RESULTED
Class 4 29 Jun 2026

Monday 29 June Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling/EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes (GBB race)

Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling/EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes (GBB race) · 6f

Official Result

Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling/EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes (GBB race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Firehorse (IRE) Cieren Fallon · S Woods
    11/1
  2. 18/1
  3. 12/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Stratford

14:10–16:40 · 6 races

Ffos Las

14:22–17:22 · 7 races

Pontefract

14:30–17:30 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

17:45–20:45 · 7 races

Windsor

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Adeel silks
Adeel
Age 2 · 9-7
142
2
9-7
10/1 10/1 17/2
A Havana Grey colt out of the useful sprinting dam Aquarius, Adeel is bred to handle six furlongs well; purchased for 70,000 guineas, he carries pedigree credentials that point toward early ability, though on debut the market will be the clearest guide to what is expected.
AI verdict

Adeel's 142 Saturday Rating shows ability but 10/1 odds and 9-7 weight suggest the market lacks confidence in this maiden.

2
Cruse On Bye silks
Cruse On Bye
Age 2 · 9-7
121
2
9-7
125/1 66/1 80/1
A lightly-bought Showcasing gelding whose dam showed useful form over longer trips, Cruse On Bye is stepping out over a trip likely shorter than his breeding suggests; the yard's runners typically need time to come to hand, and experience rather than a big show may be the most realistic aim on debut.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 121 is solid, but 100/1 odds and unknown form cap confidence at three stars.

3
Firehorse silks
Firehorse
Age 2 · 9-7
137
2
9-7
14/1 7/1 12/1
An expensive Cotai Glory colt at 95,000 guineas, Firehorse comes from a stable that has been active and successful with its juveniles recently and a leading jockey is engaged, which adds clear interest; with an unraced dam there is a pedigree question mark, and the market will be the best guide on the day.
AI verdict

At 12/1 and carrying 9-7 with unknown form, Firehorse's 137 Saturday Rating fails to justify market confidence for a 2-star verdict.

4
Fully Stocked silks
Fully Stocked
Age 2 · 9-7
121
2
9-7
33/1 18/1 33/1
A 42,000 breeze-up purchase by Perfect Power whose dam showed smart two-year-old sprinting ability, Fully Stocked has a pedigree well suited to six furlongs and a half-sibling that was useful at the same trip; market moves on debut should be noted, though everything is on trust until he runs.
AI verdict

High weight of 9-7 and unfancied 28/1 odds undermine Fully Stocked's solid Saturday Rating of 121.

5
Kigali silks
Kigali
Age 2 · 9-7
6
134
2
9-7
18/1 15/2 16/1
Ran with purpose on debut at Salisbury, showing good awareness of the task if beaten 5½ lengths, and looks the type to progress from that initial experience; bred for sprinting, he should be well suited to six furlongs here, though the trainer's current strike rate is modest.
AI verdict

Long odds of 14/1, a single form figure of 6, and a Saturday Rating of 134 signal limited winning prospects here.

6
Ongombo silks
Ongombo
Age 2 · 9-7
8
121
2
9-7
28/1 14/1 22/1
Beaten five lengths here on debut in a modest effort where he was struggling to sustain the pace, Ongombo is bred to relish much longer trips than six furlongs and is likely to find this distance inadequate; he needs time and a longer test to reveal his true potential.
AI verdict

Long odds of 25/1, a single form figure of 8, and a 121 Saturday Rating confirm Ongombo as an outsider with limited prospects.

7
Primal silks
Primal
Age 2 · 9-7
6
153
2
9-7
7/4 2/1 7/4
Denied a clear run on debut at Nottingham yet still finishing with purpose to be beaten five lengths, Primal showed enough to suggest he will build considerably on that experience; his handler has a strong record at this course, and a pedigree combining sprint speed with miler stamina suits this trip well.
AI verdict

Primal's strong Saturday Rating of 153 and competitive 15/8 odds justify 4 stars despite a single form figure of 6.

8
Sovereigns High silks
Sovereigns High
Age 2 · 9-7
142
2
9-7
9/1 5/1 8/1
A 50,000 breeze-up purchase by Ten Sovereigns from a stable noted for having juveniles ready to perform on their first appearance, Sovereigns High is the most interesting newcomer in the field; the connections have a strong record in this race, and market moves should be tracked closely.
AI verdict

Sovereigns High's 142 Saturday Rating shows solid potential, but 17/2 odds and non-favourite market position limit confidence to three stars.

9
Stoney Wood silks
Stoney Wood
Age 2 · 9-7
0
121
2
9-7
50/1 25/1 33/1
Backward under pressure at Windsor just seven days ago on his only start, Stoney Wood was well beaten and clearly still learning his trade; bred to handle sprint trips, there is scope for improvement with more experience, though the trainer's recent numbers are modest and a big step up is needed.
AI verdict

Stoney Wood's single run showing a form figure of 0, combined with 50/1 odds, signals minimal market confidence.

10
Tumishi silks
Tumishi
Age 2 · 9-7
4
153
2
9-7
11/8 31/19 5/4
Inexperienced on debut at Nottingham but finding his stride in the closing stages, Tumishi was a shade over three lengths back in fourth in a promising effort and looks sure to improve from that first run; an all-speed pedigree makes six furlongs ideal and he is the clear danger to our selection.
AI verdict

Tumishi's single run showing fourth place form and non-favourite market position limits confidence despite a solid 153 Saturday Rating.

11
Vesper Honey silks
Vesper Honey
Age 2 · 9-2
8
127
2
9-2
50/1 33/1 25/1
Well beaten at Goodwood on her only start without making any impact, Vesper Honey is bred to prefer around a mile and is unlikely to find six furlongs her best distance; she is likely to need more time and experience, making her difficult to recommend here.
AI verdict

Long odds of 50/1, a single poor form figure of 8, and a Saturday Rating of 127 signal very limited winning prospects.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Adeel 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
2 Cruse On Bye 125/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 101.00 125/1 Bet365
3 Firehorse 14/1 open 9.00 12/1 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Fully Stocked 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 William Hill
5 Kigali 18/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
6 Ongombo 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 29.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Primal 7/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 2/1 2/1 Coral
8 Sovereigns High 9/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
9 Stoney Wood 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
10 Tumishi 11/8 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.63 6/4 open 2.63 5/4 open 2.63 6/4 open 2.63 6/4 Coral
11 Vesper Honey 50/1 25/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 28/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Primal

High conviction

Primal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Andrew Balding Rob Hornby
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tumishi

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/8 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

Ongombo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Charlie Fellowes
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Primal
73.0 7/4
2 10. Tumishi
71.2 11/8
3 8. Sovereigns High
66.3 9/1
4 1. Adeel
63.4 10/1
5 3. Firehorse
57.7 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tumishi
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 2 · 9-7
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 153 🐾

Tumishi's single run showing fourth place form and non-favourite market position limits confidence despite a solid 153 Saturday Rating.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Primal's strong Saturday Rating of 153 and competitive 15/8 odds justify 4 stars despite a single form figure of 6.

8
Age 2 · 9-7
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾

Sovereigns High's 142 Saturday Rating shows solid potential, but 17/2 odds and non-favourite market position limit confidence to three stars.

1
Age 2 · 9-7
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾

Adeel's 142 Saturday Rating shows ability but 10/1 odds and 9-7 weight suggest the market lacks confidence in this maiden.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 137 🐾

At 12/1 and carrying 9-7 with unknown form, Firehorse's 137 Saturday Rating fails to justify market confidence for a 2-star verdict.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 134 🐾

Long odds of 14/1, a single form figure of 6, and a Saturday Rating of 134 signal limited winning prospects here.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tumishi
Confidence: Medium

Tumishi (SR 153, 6/4) is the market leader and shares the top SR with Primal, but the market has it as a marginally shorter price, suggesting stronger confidence from those who have seen it work. Its form figure of '4' on debut represents a solid introduction — a fourth-place finish shows it handled racing without issues and leaves clear improvement to come in a 2yo maiden context. James Fanshawe is a trainer who regularly produces debut improvers, and the 6f on Kempton AW suits a horse with scope to build on first-run experience. Primal (SR 153, 15/8) is the only realistic danger, but Tumishi's tighter market price and the trainer's record with improvers gives it the marginal edge. Each-way alternative: Primal. Main danger: Primal — Primal (SR 153, 15/8) matches Tumishi's rating exactly, is trained by Andrew Balding who excels with 2yo first-season sprinters, and its debut sixth-place finish leaves room for the improvement that often arrives on the second run at this trip.

Shortlist Tumishi, Primal, Sovereigns High
Each-way: Primal Danger: Primal

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade