Moor Top Farm Shop Hemsworth Pontefract Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 2m2f2y
Sax Appeal's inconsistent form of 738365, high weight of 9-10, and 8/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects with a Saturday Rating of 77.
A Saturday Rating of 70, uninspiring /4D576- form, and 10/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects at 9-5 weight.
Recent form of five runs showing -22111 is strong, but 9-2 weight and 6/4 odds suggest the market expects a tough ask.
Solid 77 Saturday Rating and fair 11/4 odds, but inconsistent 461-43 form and 8-12 weight limit the confidence.
Outsider odds of 18/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 61, and recent form showing an eighth-place finish signal limited winning prospects.
Solid recent form (second and third in last two runs) and competitive 7/2 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 83 at 8-8.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sax Appeal | 17/2 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Anzac Day | 16/1 open 10.00 | — | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Coral |
| 3 Trojan Soldier | 6/4 open 2.38 | — | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Secret Force | 3/1 open 4.50 | — | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Isle Of Sark | 28/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Treasure Islands | 11/4 open 4.50 | — | 5/2 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Trojan Soldier owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRecent form of five runs showing -22111 is strong, but 9-2 weight and 6/4 odds suggest the market expects a tough ask.
Solid recent form (second and third in last two runs) and competitive 7/2 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 83 at 8-8.
Solid 77 Saturday Rating and fair 11/4 odds, but inconsistent 461-43 form and 8-12 weight limit the confidence.
Sax Appeal's inconsistent form of 738365, high weight of 9-10, and 8/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects with a Saturday Rating of 77.
A Saturday Rating of 70, uninspiring /4D576- form, and 10/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects at 9-5 weight.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Trojan Soldier (SR 92, 6/4) is the standout selection on every meaningful signal. His form string of -22111 shows three consecutive wins heading into today, and at SR 92 he is comfortably clear of the entire field — the next-best is Treasure Islands at SR 83. He carries 9-2, which is only 8lb above the lowest weight in the race and represents no meaningful burden given his class advantage. Jedd O'Keeffe's yard is sending out a four-year-old on the upgrade at a 2m2f trip he is clearly handling well, and the market at 6/4 reflects genuine confidence rather than hype — this is not a drifter, it is a horse being backed for a specific reason. Each-way alternative: Treasure Islands. Main danger: Treasure Islands — Treasure Islands (SR 83, 7/2) is on a marked upward curve — his form reads -48123, meaning he won last time out — and at the lightest competitive weight of 8-8 he gets a 8lb pull on Trojan Soldier, which on good ground over 2m2f is not trivial if he has more improvement to come.