Pontefract Castle Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f5y
Outsider at 25/1 with a modest 84 Saturday Rating and patchy form (0121-6) offers little confidence in this Listed contest.
Outsider odds of 33/1 and a low Saturday Rating of 78 undermine her recent winning form.
Cabrera's 50/1 odds, poor 6/5-45 form, and low 60 Saturday Rating confirm she is a significant outsider with little winning chance.
Coedana's strong 115 Saturday Rating and consistent 113-23 form justify 4/5 stars despite not heading the market at 4/1.
Weak 16/1 odds, a modest Saturday Rating of 85, and inconsistent form of 57-124 make Ghaiyya an unlikely contender.
Lemsairbat's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 100 and inconsistent form of 65-252 limit confidence despite fair 13/2 odds.
Rated 98 with modest 17/2 odds and inconsistent form (01548-) at 9-2 weight suggests mid-tier prospects.
Rated 97 with solid 2130-2 form, but 8/1 odds and 9-2 weight suggest market lacks confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 112, recent winning form (4213-1), and competitive 5/2 odds justify solid 4/5 star selection.
Strong 113 Saturday Rating and consistent form (2237-2) at 11/4 make Revoir a solid each-way prospect at 9-2.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ryka | 66/1 open 29.00 | — | 80/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 Coral |
| 2 Brielle | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 Betfred |
| 3 Cabrera | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Coedana | 9/2 open 4.50 | — | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 Coral |
| 5 Ghaiyya | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Lemsairbat | 15/2 open 7.00 | — | 17/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 7 Little Dorrit | 10/1 open 9.00 | — | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 8 Merveilleux Lapin | 11/1 open 9.00 | — | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Coral |
| 9 Orionis | 2/1 open 3.75 | — | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Revoir | 5/2 open 3.75 | — | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Orionis owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 112, recent winning form (4213-1), and competitive 5/2 odds justify solid 4/5 star selection.
Strong 113 Saturday Rating and consistent form (2237-2) at 11/4 make Revoir a solid each-way prospect at 9-2.
Coedana's strong 115 Saturday Rating and consistent 113-23 form justify 4/5 stars despite not heading the market at 4/1.
Lemsairbat's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 100 and inconsistent form of 65-252 limit confidence despite fair 13/2 odds.
Rated 98 with modest 17/2 odds and inconsistent form (01548-) at 9-2 weight suggests mid-tier prospects.
Rated 97 with solid 2130-2 form, but 8/1 odds and 9-2 weight suggest market lacks confidence.
Weak 16/1 odds, a modest Saturday Rating of 85, and inconsistent form of 57-124 make Ghaiyya an unlikely contender.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Orionis (SR 112, 5/2) arrives on the back of a last-time-out win — the rightmost digit '1' in her form string '4213-1' — and is trained by William Haggas, one of the sharpest handlers when placing fillies in Listed company. Her SR of 112 is joint-highest in the field alongside Revoir (SR 113) and Coedana (SR 115), but her most recent form is the freshest positive signal: a victory versus a credible 'come-back' profile. The market has installed her as co-favourite at 5/2, reflecting genuine confidence rather than default support, and the 1m4f trip on Good ground suits a filly with a progressive staying profile. Revoir's SR of 113 edges her marginally on raw rating but her recent form string ends '7-2', with the '7' a concern just one run back — Orionis's trajectory is cleaner. Each-way alternative: Coedana. Main danger: Revoir — Revoir (SR 113, 11/4) holds the marginal raw-rating edge and Ralph Beckett is a trainer who regularly brings Listed fillies to peak fitness on a second seasonal start — her '2237-2' form ends with a runner-up finish that keeps her dangerously competitive at a price close to Orionis.