Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a Saturday Rating of just 49, poor form figures of 350-30, and ignored at 14/1 in the market, Ideal Guest offers little appeal.
Form last 6350-30
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a Saturday Rating of just 49, poor form figures of 350-30, and ignored at 14/1 in the market, Ideal Guest offers little appeal.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Melissa Honey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Michael HerringtonDaniel Tudhope
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ishe Worth Agamble
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
Ziva's Star
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Simon Whitaker◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a Saturday Rating of just 49, poor form figures of 350-30, and ignored at 14/1 in the market, Ideal Guest offers little appeal.
Melissa Honey (SR 62, 11/4) is the highest-rated runner in a modest field and carries a favourable 9-2, giving her a clear weight edge over Invincible Ruby (SR 65 but burdened with 10-0). Her form string 8-6431 shows a progressive profile — the last two runs deliver a 3rd and a 1st, confirming she is arriving at peak form rather than declining. The market has installed her as favourite, which is justified by the SR-plus-weight combination rather than blind sentiment, and the good ground at Pontefract over 6f suits a horse showing this kind of sharp, upward trajectory. Invincible Ruby carries a 12lb penalty over Melissa Honey for just 3 SR points of superiority — that weight concession effectively wipes out any ability advantage.
Each-way alternative: He's An Angel.
Main danger: Invincible Ruby — Invincible Ruby carries the highest SR in the field at 65 and Iain Jardine has placed her to win off this mark before — if she handles the 10-0 impost on good ground, her raw ability advantage could prove decisive despite the weight concession.