Carmarthenshire Hunt Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Bands C and D) (GBB Race) · 5f
Cavan Lady's single form figure of 3 and mid-tier Saturday Rating of 133 at 9-2 weight suggest modest but unproven potential.
Nasserein's single form figure of 5 and low Saturday Rating of 131 signal insufficient evidence of winning potential.
Tango Hotel's weak form figures of 45 and Saturday Rating of 132 at 9-2 weight highlight limited winning prospects.
Form figure of 9 and a Saturday Rating of 133 with no market support leaves Defiant Dream a weak contender at 8-13.
Weak form figures of 72, a below-par Saturday Rating of 135, and unfancied market position combine to justify just 2 stars.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Leading Raya | 100/1 | — | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Cavan Lady | 7/4 open 3.50 | — | 6/4 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Nasserein | 6/1 open 9.00 | — | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 Coral |
| 3 Tango Hotel | 4/1 open 4.00 | — | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Defiant Dream | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Past Passion | 7/4 open 2.10 | — | 13/8 open 2.00 | 13/8 open 2.00 | 7/4 open 2.00 | 13/8 open 2.00 | 7/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cavan Lady owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCavan Lady's single form figure of 3 and mid-tier Saturday Rating of 133 at 9-2 weight suggest modest but unproven potential.
Weak form figures of 72, a below-par Saturday Rating of 135, and unfancied market position combine to justify just 2 stars.
Tango Hotel's weak form figures of 45 and Saturday Rating of 132 at 9-2 weight highlight limited winning prospects.
Nasserein's single form figure of 5 and low Saturday Rating of 131 signal insufficient evidence of winning potential.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Past Passion (SR 135, 8-13) holds the highest SR in the field and is the only runner showing a multi-run form line with genuine improvement — a '2' last time out suggests she is heading in the right direction at the right moment. She benefits from the lightest weight band (8-13) despite carrying the best rating, giving her a real lbs edge over the 9-2 runners. Jonathan Portman is an astute handler with two-year-old fillies and a course like Ffos Las on Good to Soft rewards a horse with proven ability to quicken at this stage of development. With Cavan Lady and Defiant Dream both showing very limited or poor recent form figures (3 and 9 respectively), Past Passion's form trajectory makes her the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Cavan Lady. Main danger: Cavan Lady — Cavan Lady (SR 133, 9-2) showed ability with a third on debut for the in-form Richard Hughes yard and, if that run has brought her on — as first-run-to-second-run improvement often does with well-bred juveniles — she could readily outclass the field on Good to Soft ground at 5f.