Consistent performer who ran to form when beaten 2½ lengths off a 1lb lower mark last time, but steps into notably more competitive company here and our figures rank her well down the field, making it hard to fancy at likely odds from stall 19.
Stateira's hat-trick of recent wins and a cracking third in a Group 2 last time demonstrate she's in red-hot form, and with a trainer who won this race last year and handles this trip well, she's a serious contender — the 138lb burden is the one thing to overcome.
Form last 612-113
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-12 with a Saturday Rating of 87 and inconsistent form (12-113) limits Stateira's appeal despite recent placed efforts.
Blinkers applied for the first time after cheekpieces failed to spark a revival — beaten 10 lengths at Listed level last time and out of sorts all season, though a winner in recent starts and proven over today's trip and going.
Form last 6127-76
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a weak Saturday Rating of 75 and inconsistent form of 127-76 makes Sand Gazelle a poor selection.
Comfortably held in a Group 3 last time and winless in its last five starts, Muddy Mooy also faces a ground concern here and returns after 54 days off — hard to fancy at the head of the weights from stall 9.
Form last 6742-35
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 75 and uninspiring form of 742-35 makes Muddy Mooy a poor selection.
Beaten nine lengths at Haydock last time in Listed company where the trip may have stretched her, Cheshire Dancer looks more at home back at a mile on a sound surface, though she's been out of sorts this season and first-time headgear is needed to spark a revival from stall 17.
Form last 6147-05
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-6 with poor recent form (147-05) and a low Saturday Rating of 73 justifies this weak 1-star rating.
Gaga Girl shaped well on her latest Listed outing and acts on the going, but others look stronger on these terms, and the first-time headgear at 130lb from stall 24 adds unknowns for a filly best around a mile.
Form last 6642-12
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-4 with a modest Saturday Rating of 81 and inconsistent form of 642-12 limits confidence.
American Gal has the course-distance-going profile to be involved here, effective across a range of conditions and trips, but she's winless in her last five and has yet to hit her stride this season — a stall 5 draw, 130 lb, and patchy recent figures suggest mid-division at best.
Form last 6277-79
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
71SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 71 with poor form figures of 277-79 and carrying 9-4, American Gal offers little appeal at unspecified odds.
Winless in recent starts but running with credit — that fourth in the Princess Elizabeth at Epsom franks the form, and she clearly handles today's trip and conditions. The 128 lb burden from stall 11 is the main query against a return to peak.
Form last 600-554
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
72SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-2 with a Saturday Rating of just 72 and poor recent form of 00-554 makes Betty Clover a difficult selection.
Landed a fillies' handicap by 2½ lengths off a 6lb lower mark last time out, but now racing off a revised mark from stall 14, and while effective at today's trip on a sound surface, the higher weight could offset that course form; Ryan Moore's booking keeps her firmly in the picture.
Form last 6113-61
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 82 and inconsistent form of 113-61 limits confidence.
Rhapsody shaped with real promise when third in a Listed race on latest outing, and with the trainer in cracking form and more to offer over today's trip, the 248-day absence is the only query about a filly who looks the one to beat.
Form last 698513-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rhapsody's modest Saturday Rating of 76, top weight of 8-13, and inconsistent form figures of 98513 make her a difficult selection.
Ran to form on handicap debut over this trip last time out, beaten just three lengths off a 1lb lower mark, and with a trainer firing at 37% in the last fortnight, Alobayyah looks the chief danger here; the main concern is a return to last season's lesser form.
Form last 61/85-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR—RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 8-11 with patchy form (1/85-3) and a modest Saturday Rating of 76 makes Alobayyah an unconvincing proposition.
Winless in her last five starts and a bit below form on her return to turf at Yarmouth last time, Miss Nightfall is off an easing mark but likely needs more having probably flattered in a Group contest; effective at this trip and acts on any ground, though a sound surface may suit best.
Form last 6570-95
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 8-10 with a Saturday Rating of 71 and uninspiring form figures of 570-95, Miss Nightfall offers little appeal at current market odds.
Zgharta's trainer took this race last year and the horse itself ran well at this meeting twelve months ago, making the stable combination a serious threat; however, winless in its last five starts and beaten seven lengths for pace last time out, it must find significant improvement.
Form last 67540-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor recent form (7540-6) and a low Saturday Rating of 69 under 8-9 weight make Zgharta an unconvincing each-way prospect.
Seren Star is an outsider on our figures, ranked well down the field, and the unplaced effort sandwiched between recent wins adds to the inconsistency. The tongue-tie applied first time and a trainer firing at 28% offer the most compelling reasons to stay interested.
Form last 61510-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Seren Star's Saturday Rating of 78 and inconsistent form (1510-3) under 8-9 weight justify limited market confidence.
Hood on for the first time after another below-par Hamilton spin 31 days ago, Crystal Flyer's winless run continues to mount — yet the versatile stayer acts on this going and distance, giving this draw-two runner a plausible each-way profile if the headgear sparks a response.
Form last 6568-97
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor recent form (568-97) and a modest Saturday Rating of 67 make Crystal Flyer an unconvincing betting proposition at 8-9 weight.
Ran creditably at Thirsk last time and is proven at today's trip and going, but the tongue-tie worn again may not unlock enough improvement off a mark that looks beyond reach for now — capable of filling a place rather than winning.
Form last 6/214-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 8-9 with modest form of /214-5, a Saturday Rating of 74, and starting as a non-favourite makes Oolong Poobong a weak contender.
Showed a good attitude to land a handicap by a neck at Doncaster 12 days ago, and should handle the step up in weight comfortably, though slipping back to sixth in the run before is a minor caution worth noting.
Form last 66124-1
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 8-9 with a Saturday Rating of only 80 and starting as a non-favourite despite decent form of 6124-1 limits confidence here.
Three wins on the spin, most recently quickening clear by 2½l in a Kempton handicap off a 7lb lower mark than today, and a trainer who won this race last year fires in a strong 32% strike-rate; the 126-day absence and a 17lb rise in the weights are the obvious checks.
Form last 631-11
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR—RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 8-8 with a Saturday Rating of 80 and form reading 31-11, the market's dismissal as non-favourite exposes All Moonshine's limited winning prospects.
Ran to best when beaten a length at Thirsk 17 days ago and handles today's trip and going well, while first-time cheekpieces could sharpen the response — though winless in recent starts and a trainer in the depths of a losing run are real concerns.
Form last 60-4642
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR—RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 71, inconsistent form showing no wins, and carrying 8-7 limits Perfect Part's winning prospects significantly.
Winless in recent starts and never competitive when well beaten at Lingfield 75 days ago, Unassuming faces an uphill task with a trainer firing at just 5% — though the first-time headgear, suitable trip and going, and a lightly encouraging earlier run offer slim crumbs of hope.
Form last 6-45059
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor recent form (-45059) and a low Saturday Rating of 67 make Unassuming unconvincing at 8-7 weight.
Beaten seven lengths at Chester last time and below her best form, Callianassa has posted back-to-back disappointing efforts since her last win and needs considerably more here, ranked 20 of 25 on our figures — course-and-distance form and proven going versatility offer some comfort.
Form last 6-15576
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor form (-15576), a low Saturday Rating of 65, and carrying 8-2 make Callianassa an unconvincing betting proposition.
Faces a stiff task returning from a 330-day absence, dropping in trip on fast ground that doesn't suit — conditions look against her on both counts. The Dieppe win last time out showed she can deliver, but ranked 24 of 25 on our figures, she's hard to fancy here.
Form last 66421-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 72 and uninspiring form figures of 6421- offer little confidence despite a competitive 8-2 weight.
Winless in its last five starts and too keen to land a blow when fourth at Lingfield 18 days ago, Quamby does handle this trip and surface from stall 23 on 114 lb, though the overall profile suggests it faces a stiff ask here.
Form last 6233-44
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 70, uninspiring 233-44 form, and carrying 8-2 weight with no market support combine to limit Quamby's prospects.
Back-to-back sixths bracket a spell of mixed form, and carrying 114 lb from stall 4, Lady Mariko looks to need more than a 1 lb drop in the weights to reverse fortunes, despite the step back to a suitable trip and proven ability to handle this going.
Form last 62-1606
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 69, inconsistent form (2-1606), and carrying 8-2 make Lady Mariko an unconvincing non-favourite selection.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and didn't get home last time at Goodwood, beaten eight lengths — the first-time hood and stall one offer slim angles, but this is hard to fancy against stronger company.
Form last 6132526
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Renesmee's inconsistent form (132526), low Saturday Rating of 69, and burdensome 8-2 weight justify the weak 2/5 star rating.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Radiant Beauty owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2James OwenRyan Moore
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Stateira
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
8/1 · Andrew Balding✓ Value Signal
Sand Gazelle
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · John & Thady Gosden◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
All Moonshine (SR 80) carries a favourable 8-8 in a race where the top-weight Stateira (SR 87) is burdened with 9-12 — a 20lb weight pull for only a 7-point SR gap, which heavily favours All Moonshine. The form string 31-11 is the most compelling in the field: back-to-back wins in her most recent two starts, suggesting peak current form under trainer Andrew Balding who has a strong record at Ascot in summer handicaps. On Good to Firm, a horse in that kind of ascending form profile carrying a light weight is the textbook profile to exploit a wide-open fillies' handicap. Radiant Beauty (SR 82, 9-0) is the each-way alternative; danger is Stateira whose SR leads the field at 87 despite the weight burden.
Each-way alternative: Radiant Beauty.
Main danger: Stateira — Stateira's SR of 87 is clearly the best in the field and her form 12-113 shows a recent win, so if the weight of 9-12 does not anchor her on Good to Firm ground she remains the most talented horse in the race.
ShortlistAll Moonshine, Stateira, Radiant Beauty, Rumba Numba, Song N Dance