Downpatrick 17:30 13 Jun 2026
13 Jun 2026

Today Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP INH Flat Race

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP INH Flat Race · 2m2f185y

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Voting open
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Katie Can't Count Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 17 hours, 39 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Duck Hunter silks
Duck Hunter
Age 5 · 12-0
P
131
5
12-0
16/1
AI verdict

Weak form showing only a pull-up, combined with 16/1 odds and non-favourite status, offers minimal confidence despite a 131 Saturday Rating.

2
Hurricane Leaf silks
Hurricane Leaf
Age 6 · 12-0
7-0
123
6
12-0
33/1
AI verdict

At 33/1 odds and a Saturday Rating of 123, Hurricane Leaf's market position and form of 7-0 suggest limited winning prospects.

3
Ruled By The Sun silks
Ruled By The Sun
Age 5 · 12-0
7-
123
5
12-0
50/1
AI verdict

50/1 odds and a single form figure of seventh make Ruled By The Sun a 2/5 star outsider at 12-0.

4
Corway silks
Corway
Age 4 · 11-9
5
146
4
11-9
17/2
AI verdict

Corway's 146 Saturday Rating shows solid ability, but 17/2 odds and a single form figure of 5 limit confidence.

5
Flashy Fred silks
Flashy Fred
Age 4 · 11-9
3
153
4
11-9
4/1
AI verdict

Flashy Fred's solid 153 Saturday Rating and 4/1 odds are offset by a single form figure of 3 and non-favourite market status.

6
Mevoila A Vassy silks
Mevoila A Vassy
Age 4 · 11-9
150
4
11-9
5/1
AI verdict

Rated 150 with fair 5/1 odds and 11-9 weight, but unknown form and non-favourite status limits confidence to 3 stars.

7
Mule Skinner silks
Mule Skinner
Age 4 · 11-9
35-
147
4
11-9
9/1
AI verdict

Odds of 9/1 and incomplete form (35-) limit confidence despite a solid Saturday Rating of 147 at 11-9.

8
Katie Can't Count silks
Katie Can't Count
Age 6 · 11-7
156
6
11-7
10/11
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 156 combined with competitive 10/11 odds and 11-7 weight justify four stars despite not being market favourite.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Duck Hunter 16/1 16/1 Bet365
2 Hurricane Leaf 33/1 33/1 Bet365
3 Ruled By The Sun 50/1 50/1 Bet365
4 Corway 17/2 17/2 Bet365
5 Flashy Fred 4/1 4/1 Bet365
6 Mevoila A Vassy 5/1 5/1 Bet365
7 Mule Skinner 9/1 9/1 Bet365
8 Katie Can't Count 10/11 10/11 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Katie Can't Count

High conviction

Katie Can't Count owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/11 W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mevoila A Vassy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Gerald Stephen Quinn
✓ Value Signal

Ruled By The Sun

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ray Hackett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Katie Can't Count
72.6 10/11
2 6. Mevoila A Vassy
70.0 5/1
3 5. Flashy Fred
69.5 4/1
4 4. Corway
66.9 17/2
5 7. Mule Skinner
64.3 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Katie Can't Count
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 6 · 11-7
10/11
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 156 combined with competitive 10/11 odds and 11-7 weight justify four stars despite not being market favourite.

5
Age 4 · 11-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 153 🐾

Flashy Fred's solid 153 Saturday Rating and 4/1 odds are offset by a single form figure of 3 and non-favourite market status.

6
Age 4 · 11-9
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 150 🐾

Rated 150 with fair 5/1 odds and 11-9 weight, but unknown form and non-favourite status limits confidence to 3 stars.

4
Age 4 · 11-9
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 146 🐾

Corway's 146 Saturday Rating shows solid ability, but 17/2 odds and a single form figure of 5 limit confidence.

7
Age 4 · 11-9
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 147 🐾

Odds of 9/1 and incomplete form (35-) limit confidence despite a solid Saturday Rating of 147 at 11-9.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 131 🐾

Weak form showing only a pull-up, combined with 16/1 odds and non-favourite status, offers minimal confidence despite a 131 Saturday Rating.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Katie Can't Count
Confidence: Medium

Katie Can't Count (SR 156, 10/11) carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-7, giving her a 2lb edge over the next-best rated runners and a meaningful advantage over the 12-0 carriers. Her SR of 156 is the highest in the field by 3 points and she is trained by W P Mullins, whose INH flat runners command respect at any track. The market has installed her as a strong odds-on favourite, and while her form string shows dashes (recent runs not resulting in a recorded finish position, typical of bumper/flat campaign horses), the combination of top SR, lightest weight, and Mullins stable confidence is a compelling alignment of signals. At 2m2f185y on Good ground she faces no obvious trip concern as an unexposed 6-year-old. Each-way alternative: Flashy Fred. Main danger: Mevoila A Vassy — Mevoila A Vassy (SR 150, 5/1) carries 11-9 and has a clean slate of dashes suggesting an unexposed profile — if she has shown ability at home for Gerald Quinn she could outrun her price on debut, making her the most credible alternative to the favourite.

Shortlist Katie Can't Count, Flashy Fred, Mevoila A Vassy
Each-way: Flashy Fred Danger: Mevoila A Vassy

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m2f185y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting