Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (Div I) · 2m5f180y
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
Carrying top weight 12-4 with patchy form 01692- limits confidence despite a competitive 94 Saturday Rating at 7/4.
A Saturday Rating of 55, form reading 0/PP-0, and 33/1 odds mark San Franco as a rank outsider with little winning chance.
A Saturday Rating of 74, weak form (7362-6), and 16/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects despite carrying 12-3.
Western Model's 70 Saturday Rating, poor 2525-8 form, and 20/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects despite carrying 12-3.
Rated just 84 with poor form figures of 90/88- and carrying top weight of 11-13 at 13/2, Steps In The Sand lacks credibility.
Carrying top weight of 11-12 with weak form of 532P-0 and a low Saturday Rating of 74 at 12/1 suggests little winning chance.
Carrying top weight of 11-12 with inconsistent form (445-35) and a modest Saturday Rating of 77 at 7/1 suggests limited winning prospects.
Poor recent form of /7P0-7 and a low Saturday Rating of 72 at 10/1 make Watty Show an unlikely contender.
Long-shot odds of 16/1, poor form figures of F50-56, and a low Saturday Rating of 67 signal minimal winning prospects.
Outsider at 50/1 with poor form of 587-0 and a low Saturday Rating of 60 signals minimal winning chance.
Rated just 57 with poor form figures of 0/P-94, Go Avel is a 20/1 outsider carrying 11-1 with no market support.
Jolly Potter's 33/1 odds, poor 78/0-0 form, and low 54 Saturday Rating combine to make this 11-1 weighted runner a weak outsider.
Artic Chief's poor form (8P0-37), high weight of 11-0, and mid-range Saturday Rating of 74 at 7/1 suggest limited winning prospects.
Form figures of 3269-U and a Saturday Rating of 76 make Hakensack, carrying 11-0 at 11/2, an unconvincing betting proposition.
Thatsmyroadie's 1/5 rating reflects a Saturday Rating of just 50, 50/1 odds, and a winless form of 000P-0.
A Saturday Rating of 58 and weak 544-18 form make Annie Questions a 20/1 outsider carrying 10-9 with little market support.
A Saturday Rating of 62, poor form of 557-64, and 16/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects here.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nakassama | 7/4 | — | — | — | — | — | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 2 San Franco | 33/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Forever And A Day | 16/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Western Model | 20/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Steps In The Sand | 13/2 | — | — | — | — | — | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Hitthehayson | 12/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Mount Shenshan | 7/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Watty Show | 10/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Andyourbirdcansing | 16/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Hunting Gold | 50/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Go Avel | 20/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Jolly Potter | 33/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Artic Chief | 7/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Hakensack | 11/2 | — | — | — | — | — | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 15 Thatsmyroadie | 50/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Annie Questions | 20/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Beau's Candle | 16/1 | — | — | — | — | — | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nakassama owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarrying top weight 12-4 with patchy form 01692- limits confidence despite a competitive 94 Saturday Rating at 7/4.
Form figures of 3269-U and a Saturday Rating of 76 make Hakensack, carrying 11-0 at 11/2, an unconvincing betting proposition.
Rated just 84 with poor form figures of 90/88- and carrying top weight of 11-13 at 13/2, Steps In The Sand lacks credibility.
Carrying top weight of 11-12 with inconsistent form (445-35) and a modest Saturday Rating of 77 at 7/1 suggests limited winning prospects.
Artic Chief's poor form (8P0-37), high weight of 11-0, and mid-range Saturday Rating of 74 at 7/1 suggest limited winning prospects.
Poor recent form of /7P0-7 and a low Saturday Rating of 72 at 10/1 make Watty Show an unlikely contender.
Carrying top weight of 11-12 with weak form of 532P-0 and a low Saturday Rating of 74 at 12/1 suggests little winning chance.
A Saturday Rating of 74, weak form (7362-6), and 16/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects despite carrying 12-3.
Long-shot odds of 16/1, poor form figures of F50-56, and a low Saturday Rating of 67 signal minimal winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 62, poor form of 557-64, and 16/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects here.
Western Model's 70 Saturday Rating, poor 2525-8 form, and 20/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects despite carrying 12-3.
Rated just 57 with poor form figures of 0/P-94, Go Avel is a 20/1 outsider carrying 11-1 with no market support.
A Saturday Rating of 58 and weak 544-18 form make Annie Questions a 20/1 outsider carrying 10-9 with little market support.
Nakassama (SR 94, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this field — an SR of 94 stands well above every other runner, with the next best Steps In The Sand at SR 84 carrying 11-13 versus Nakassama's 12-4. The market has installed Nakassama as a strong favourite, reflecting genuine form superiority, and the 6-year-old's recent form string of 01692- shows a winner in there with placings, indicating the horse is capable of finding the line. Good ground over 2m5f180y suits a horse of this profile, and the trainer Noel C Kelly keeping a horse at 7/4 in a 17-runner competitive qualifier suggests stable confidence. The weight of 12-4 is a burden but the SR gap to the field — a 10-point margin over the second-rated runner — justifies it. Each-way alternative: Hakensack. Main danger: Steps In The Sand — Steps In The Sand (SR 84, 13/2) carries a favourable 11-13 versus Nakassama's 12-4 — a 5lb weight advantage that narrows the SR gap considerably, and the trainer Ciaran Murphy has placed this horse at a competitive price suggesting conditions suit.