Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Roaring Home owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Henry DalySam Twiston-Davies
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Twist Of Fatecatch
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Neil Mulholland✓ Value Signal
Chillhi
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Barry John Murphy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Roaring Home (SR 109, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field and arrives on the back of a recent win — the rightmost digit of P541-1 confirms a last-time-out victory, the strongest possible form signal. Carrying 12-0 is not prohibitive at 2m7f70y on Good ground where stamina counts over raw speed, and Henry Daly is a competent handler at this trip. The SR of 109 is 5 points clear of the next-best Twist Of Fatecatch (SR 104) and 11 points clear of the market's third choice Orange Diamond (SR 98), a meaningful gap at this class level. Market confidence at 5/2 favourite is consistent with a genuine in-form improver rather than speculative money.
Each-way alternative: Mexican Stan.
Main danger: Twist Of Fatecatch — Twist Of Fatecatch (SR 104, 10/3) is second in the market, second in SR, and carries 11-11 — 3lb less than Roaring Home — with a recent placed run (form ending -3) suggesting consistent proximity to the frame and a live chance if the favourite underperforms.
ShortlistRoaring Home, Twist Of Fatecatch, Orange Diamond, Mexican Stan