Nottingham 14:35 RESULTED
Class 5 11 Jun 2026

Last Thursday EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C & D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race)

EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C & D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 5f8y

1048-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C & D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Barnaby Rudge (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe
    11/2
  2. Second Shaniko (GB)
    28/1
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 8 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Barnaby Rudge silks
Barnaby Rudge
Age 2 · 9-7
50
2
9-7
7/1 7/1 6/1
62,000gns 2yo; Inns Of Court colt; half-brother to 5f winner Miss Yechance (RPR 92); dam, 5f 2yo winner (RPR 82), is a half-sister to US 8.5f stakes winner Fuente Ovejuna, out of a maiden half-sister to French 1m2f Group 1 winner Jemayel; hooded for his debut but in good hands and needs considering.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Blondie Larry silks
Blondie Larry
Age 2 · 9-7
45
2
9-7
11/1 11/1 10/1
50,000euros yearling; Showcasing colt; dam, Group-placed 6f winner (RPR 101), is out of an unraced half-sister to 1m4f Group 3 winner Claremont; appeals on paper so he can't be ruled out, especially if the market vibes are positive.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Dreamlover silks
Dreamlover
Age 2 · 9-7
4
63
61
2
9-7
4/1 3/1 7/2
Sent off 13-8 for his debut but looked in need of the experience when fourth of six in 5f Southwell maiden last month; since gelded and this son of Cotai Glory is clearly thought capable of better.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
One In A Millz silks
One In A Millz
Age 2 · 9-7
0
1
22
2
9-7
25/1 FCST 22/1
12-1 when last of 12 on his debut in a maiden at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 19 days ago; this son of Bungle Inthejungle needs to take a major step forward.
AI verdict

SR 1 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

5
Wolf's Gallop silks
Wolf's Gallop
Age 2 · 9-7
7
53
62
2
9-7
12/1
33-1 but hinted at promise with debut seventh of nine in maiden at Doncaster (5f, good to firm) 26 days ago; this son of Sergei Prokofiev can build on it now.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Moriarty Moon silks
Moriarty Moon
Age 2 · 9-4
67
76
76
2
9-4
10/3 FCST 3/1
Starspangledbanner colt who still looked green when seventh of 11 in 6f Chester novice 12 days ago; can take another step forward here.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Nascent Star silks
Nascent Star
Age 2 · 9-4
57
2
9-4
11/4
Half-brother to French/Spanish 5.5f-7f winner Fiction; dam, unraced half-sister to winners Azmeel (1m2f Group 3) and Baisse (German 1m Listed), is out of a useful 7f/1m winner; yard's juveniles are going very well so this Starman colt rates an interesting prospect.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Shaniko silks
Shaniko
Age 2 · 9-2
0
15
2
9-2
66/1 FCST 50/1
Hooded for her debut when last of 12 in seller at Chester (6f, good) 12 days ago; significantly more is required.
AI verdict

SR 0 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

9
Agnes Hathaway silks
Agnes Hathaway
Age 2 · 8-13
87
56
60
2
8-13
11/1 9/1 11/1
Oscar Performance filly; still looked in need of the experience when seventh of nine in 5.5f Bath maiden 16 days ago; she's the sort to do better in due course.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Priscilla's Hope silks
Priscilla's Hope
Age 2 · 8-13
365
69
71
2
8-13
7/1 8/1 7/1
Modest form shown in her three runs thus far, fifth of nine in 6f Redcar maiden 16 days ago; needs to take a step forward.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Barnaby Rudge 7/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 Bet365
2 Blondie Larry 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Dreamlover 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 4/1 Bet365
4 One In A Millz 25/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 Bet365
5 Wolf's Gallop 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
6 Moriarty Moon 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 3/1 3/1 10/3 Bet365
7 Nascent Star 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
8 Shaniko 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 Bet365
9 Agnes Hathaway 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 11/1 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 12/1 William Hill
10 Priscilla's Hope 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Moriarty Moon

Speculative

Moriarty Moon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Michael Bell Paul Mulrennan
77% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Priscilla's Hope

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Philip McBride
✓ Value Signal

Shaniko

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Craig Lidster
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Moriarty Moon
52.7 10/3
2 10. Priscilla's Hope
46.7 7/1
3 7. Nascent Star
46.0 11/4
4 3. Dreamlover
45.5 4/1
5 2. Blondie Larry
44.4 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Moriarty Moon
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 2 · 9-4
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-4
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 2 · 8-13
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 8-13
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Moriarty Moon
Confidence: Medium

Moriarty Moon (SR 76, 10/3) holds the highest confirmed SR in the field and is the clear class reference point in a race full of debutants and lightly-raced juveniles. The 6-7 form line shows progressive experience over 5f trips, and at 9-4 the weight is lighter than the inexperienced top-weights at 9-7, providing a marginal lbs advantage. Michael Bell is a sharp handler of precocious 2yo sprinters and the market has installed this horse as a short-price favourite for good reason. Good ground over 5f8y at Nottingham is a straightforward test that suits a horse with confirmed form rather than the numerous debutants who have no data point at all. Each-way alternative: Priscilla's Hope. Main danger: Nascent Star — Nascent Star (SR 57, 11/4) is the market's second favourite and is trained by Hugo Palmer, who is adept at introducing well-bred 2yo debutants primed to win first time out, and unexposed horses at this level with strong trainer intent frequently outperform their SR on debut.

Shortlist Moriarty Moon, Dreamlover, Priscilla's Hope
Each-way: Priscilla's Hope Danger: Nascent Star

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f8y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade