Ardonagh Group Handicap · 7f
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 63 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Consecrated | 9/1 open 13.00 | — | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 2 Nostrum | 8/1 open 8.00 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Brian | 11/1 open 11.00 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 17/2 | 10/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Ata Rangi | 6/1 open 6.50 | — | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Forty Years On | 3/1 open 4.33 | — | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Spangled Mac | 9/1 open 17.00 | — | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 7 Morte Point | 16/1 open 23.00 | — | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Storm Free | 5/1 open 6.50 | — | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 I'm Workin On It | 11/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 William Hill |
| 10 I Still Have Faith | 13/2 open 8.00 | — | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Chalk Mountain | 18/1 open 12.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Warm Spell | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Best Rate | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 14 City Of Kings | 33/1 open 17.00 | — | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 William Hill |
| 15 Obsidian Dream | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Tanmawwy | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Forty Years On owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Forty Years On (SR 103, 3/1, 9-7) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 9 points over Storm Free (SR 94), and the form string '31112-' shows consistent front-running success at this class level with four wins or places from five completed runs. The 9-7 weight is comfortably below top-weight and represents a fair burden for the SR advantage carried. George Scott's runner is the most market-trusted in the field at 3/1, and at 7f on Good to Soft at Newbury the trip and conditions suit a progressive 4-year-old with this profile. The one concern is the season-opening dash '-' at the end of the form string suggesting the last run was a seasonal debut or blank, but the underlying form is strong enough to overcome that. Each-way alternative: Ata Rangi. Main danger: Storm Free — Storm Free (SR 94, 5/1, 9-7) has a recent '321-60' that includes a placed effort at a decent level and James Tate is capable of placing a horse perfectly — if the '6' and '0' are excused by conditions or trip, this horse represents a live threat at almost the same weight as the selection.