Newbury 14:20 RESULTED
Class 4 11 Jun 2026

Last Thursday KBIS British Equestrian Insurance EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

KBIS British Equestrian Insurance EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race) · 6f110y

1348-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

KBIS British Equestrian Insurance EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Silver Dominion (IRE) Hector Crouch · Oliver Cole
    14/1
  2. 9/2
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 8 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Al Qayed silks
Al Qayed Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-7
2
9-7
SP
100,000gns yearling; from the first crop of the stable's superstar Baaeed; second foal; dam unraced half-sister to two classy winners, out of 7f Group 3 winner; makes debut with yard in flying form and could have a big say.
2
Amir Lehbab silks
Amir Lehbab
Age 2 · 9-7
49
2
9-7
17/2 FCST 8/1
150,000euros foal, 200,000gns yearling; seventh foal; No Nay Never brother to two winners notably Rudi's Apple (6f 2yo; RPR 97), half-brother to three winners including The Vegas Raider (1m2f-2m,; 82); dam Group-placed 7f/1m winner; likely to improve for this first run but respected nevertheless.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Arabian Blue silks
Arabian Blue
Age 2 · 9-7
40
2
9-7
16/1
150,000gns yearling; second foal; Blue Point half-brother to 1m/1m1f winner I Am Me (RPR 82); dam once-raced half-sister to winners including Emaraaty Ana (6f Group 1), out of 1m4f Listed winner; it's possible he's one for further down the line but is worth a second look given his purchase price.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Cavalier silks
Cavalier
Age 2 · 9-7
48
2
9-7
10/1 9/1 10/1
80,000euros foal, 95,000euros yearling; third foal; Minzaal half-brother to 7f AW winner They All Know Me (RPR 81); dam 6f winner (including 2yo; 87), half-sister to 5f 2yo Listed winner Dave Dexter; one of four declared runners for Richard Hannon and the betting can be informative on debut.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Cloud Summit silks
Cloud Summit
Age 2 · 9-7
51
2
9-7
7/1 FCST 13/2
100,000gns yearling; first foal; dam runner-up 1m in US, half-sister to Cheveley Park and 1,000 Guineas winner Special Duty; trainer's 2yos are running well and this No Nay Never newcomer is one to watch in the betting.
AI verdict

SR 51 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Herbert Hall silks
Herbert Hall
Age 2 · 9-7
50
2
9-7
7/1
8,000euros yearling, resold £36,000 yearling; by Starman; first foal; dam unplaced 7f-1m 2yo (RPR 62), sister to winners Agitare (useful 7f-2m Flat and 2m3f jumps) and Make Me Sway (1m), closely related to 6f-7.5f winner Holistic Approach; others debutants make greater appeal on paper.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Jimtrott silks
Jimtrott
Age 2 · 9-7
54
2
9-7
4/1 FCST 7/2
110,000gns yearling; first foal; dam French Listed-placed 9.5f AW winner (RPR 90), out of maiden half-sister to 1m6f Group 3 winner California; trainer can ready one first time; this No Nay Never newcomer is not ruled out.
AI verdict

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Keep Grating silks
Keep Grating
Age 2 · 9-7
29
2
9-7
40/1 28/1 33/1
35,000euros yearling; eighth foal; Space Traveller half-brother to winners Dazzling Des (5f-6f including 2yo; RPR 85), Merry Secret (6f/7f; 74), Private Affair (5f AW 2yo; 73) and Blue Moon Baby (5f 2yo; 56); dam 5f 2yo winner (91); one of four for the stable; others appeal more.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Night Star silks
Night Star
Age 2 · 9-7
40
2
9-7
16/1
46,000euros foal, £60,000 yearling; fourth foal; Space Traveller half-brother to 6f winner Smoke Them Out (including 2yo; RPR 86); dam 6f winner (78), half-sister to two winners; one of four for the stable; some of the other newcomers possess more paper appeal.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Note To Self silks
Note To Self
Age 2 · 9-7
5
58
58
2
9-7
6/1 FCST 11/2
Drifted out to 100-30 for last month's debut at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) and was beaten 7l in fifth of six; however, he's with a leading stable and may be able to leave that opening performance miles behind.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Percy Shaw silks
Percy Shaw
Age 2 · 9-7
40
2
9-7
20/1 14/1 20/1
40,000gns yearling; seventh foal; Bated Breath brother to Listed-placed 5f winner Lady Tilbury (including 2yo; RPR 100), half-brother to 6f winner Rinky Tinky Tinky (64); dam 5f winner (81), half-sister to 7f Listed winner; no surprise if he gives a good account on debut.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Rafe's Da Man silks
Rafe's Da Man
Age 2 · 9-7
4
19
38
2
9-7
28/1 33/1 28/1
Backed into 9-2 for last month's debut at Lingfield (7f, good); interesting to see if his supporters return but he was beaten a long way and needs to be an entirely different proposition this afternoon.
AI verdict

SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

13
Silver Dominion silks
Silver Dominion
Age 2 · 9-7
49
2
9-7
7/1 8/1 7/1
200,000euros yearling; third foal; dam French 10.5f winner, half-sister to 7f Group 1 winner Aclaim and smart 1m3f-1m5f winner Aimeric; purchase price catches the eye and this Gleneagles newcomer could run well.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Sole Ambition silks
Sole Ambition
Age 2 · 9-7
53
2
9-7
9/2
150,000gns foal, 210,000gns yearling; by No Nay Never; second foal; dam Group-placed 6f winner (RPR 98), half-sister to useful 6f 2yo/7f winner Elinor Dashwood; likely to improve for this debut run but not discounted.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Al Qayed
2 Amir Lehbab 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 17/2 Bet365
3 Arabian Blue 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Cavalier 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 10/1 Bet365
5 Cloud Summit 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 7/1 Bet365
6 Herbert Hall 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 Bet365
7 Jimtrott 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 4/1 4/1 Bet365
8 Keep Grating 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 40/1 Bet365
9 Night Star 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
10 Note To Self 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 6/1 Bet365
11 Percy Shaw 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
12 Rafe's Da Man 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 Bet365
13 Silver Dominion 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 Bet365
14 Sole Ambition 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jimtrott

Speculative

Jimtrott owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (30) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sole Ambition

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Ed Walker
✓ Value Signal

Keep Grating

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Richard Hannon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Jimtrott
50.3 4/1
2 14. Sole Ambition
47.6 9/2
3 6. Herbert Hall
45.2 7/1
4 13. Silver Dominion
45.1 7/1
5 4. Cavalier
43.7 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jimtrott
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 2 · 9-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 2 · 9-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 2 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Age 2 · 9-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Age 2 · 9-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jimtrott
Confidence: Medium

Jimtrott leads the field on SR (54) and is the joint-market-leader at 4/1, suggesting trainer Eve Johnson Houghton — a yard known for producing precocious debut winners — has the horse fit and ready. In a race where all but two runners are debutants with blank form strings, the SR advantage over Sole Ambition (SR 53) and Note To Self (SR 58, but drifted to 6/1 despite the highest SR) matters less than market confidence and trainer intent. The 4/1 price is the shortest non-ante-post move in the field on a card where the market has clearly sided with Jimtrott over the slightly higher-rated Note To Self — indicating confidence beyond pure ratings. Good to Soft at 6f110y suits a well-bred two-year-old making a forward move from a top stable. Each-way alternative: Sole Ambition. Main danger: Note To Self — Note To Self carries the field's highest SR (58) for the Gosden yard — a training operation capable of producing a well-schooled debutant — and if the 6/1 drift is explained by fitness rather than ability, a first-time-out improvement could see the ratings hold up.

Shortlist Jimtrott, Sole Ambition, Cloud Summit
Each-way: Sole Ambition Danger: Note To Self

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f110y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade