Dual AW winner; stand-out turf display was her second to Lake Victoria in Irish 1,000 Guineas (City Of Memphis fifth); failed to go on from that run last season, and now 0-15 on turf; struggled in race won by Celestial Orbit here early last month; better effort before fading into fourth behind City Of Memphis on latest.
Form last 600-194
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
95SR122RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winner of the 2023 Chesham; again ran well at Royal Ascot last year, second in 23-runner Kensington Palace Stakes; sprang a surprise in a four-runner 1m1f Group 3 at Leopardstown on penultimate start; this may be too sharp on reappearance.
Form last 664216-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR115RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Progressive in handicaps last year; went up an aggregate 11lb for wins at Leopardstown and Tipperary and ended season with fine third in premier handicap at former venue; out of her depth on comeback run in Leopardstown Listed nine days ago, considered back at her level here.
Form last 61163-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR95RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ran well in defeat in Group 3 races on her first two outings last season; out of her depth in the Commonwealth Cup; subsequent stakes race form linked to the smart Sky Majesty was promising, and she ended the campaign with a stylish career-best in winning a 6f Curragh Listed race by 10l; can prosper at this trip.
Form last 602301-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
100SR116RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bolted up in a Cork maiden last May; thrown straight into Group 1 company in the Irish 1,000 Guineas and coped admirably, beaten 4 1/2l in fifth behind Lake Victoria, despite racing keenly; won over 7f at Gowran last month after a lengthy absence; backed that up with an emphatic Group 3 win at Leopardstown; can continue on the upgrade.
Form last 615-11
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR123RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Second in a Listed race at Killarney last year; likely to find this company too demanding, though worth noting she was aimed higher in the Matron Stakes.
Form last 642940-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR109RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Improved throughout last season, landing a competitive handicap at Galway over 7f and a Group 3 event at Tipperary before another good effort when fourth in a 1m Group 2 at Longchamp; beaten by stablemate Celestial Orbit in a 7f Group 3 here last month; held by City Of Memphis on running a fortnight ago.
Form last 614-725
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR121RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
City Of Memphis owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/8P TwomeyW J Lee
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Carla Ridge
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Eddie & Patrick Harty✓ Value Signal
California Dreamer
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Robson De Aguiar◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
City Of Memphis leads the field with SR 101 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.
ShortlistCity Of Memphis, Carla Ridge, Snellen, California Dreamer, Signora
