First past the post in both Irish points; encouraging 14l fourth in a Listed bumper at Sandown (soft) before failing favourite backers over 2m2f here on good; may prefer softer ground but should get away with it in this company, and the longer trip will suit on hurdling debut.
Form last 61D142-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fairly useful on the Flat for Andrew Balding; made inauspicious start to hurdling career last season but his close third on handicap debut at Plumpton (2m, good) five weeks ago was much better, and he may yet transfer more of that Flat ability to hurdling.
Form last 66F93-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR98RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Won a bumper at Aintree last May; changed hands subsequently and has just been touched off when a short-priced favourite in a couple of Sedgefield maidens over 2m1f since switching to hurdles; steps up in trip and looks the one to beat.
Form last 63/122-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR115RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fair Flat racer who won over 1m4f on Polytrack last autumn; began hurdling career with respectable third of four at Fakenham (2m, good) last month and didn't run badly before weakening into fourth at Hexham more recently; holds each-way claims at least here.
Form last 63-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR113RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mixed results in four bumper runs but she won on Newbury debut (2m, good to soft) in December and was runner-up at Wincanton (1m7f, good) last month; out of an unraced sister to a useful hurdler and she needs a close look on this switch to jumps.
Form last 61U62-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
French 1m3f Flat winner (heavy); 11-2 on debut for this trainer at Catterick (1m7f, soft) in January, when beaten about 6l in third; looked likely to come on for that experience and also when eventually going up in trip; can have a say here.
Form last 63-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR107RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race.
Prices land after the first odds sync.
Kamille Au Kanada owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
N/AAnthony HoneyballSam Twiston-Davies
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Rebel Tribesman
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
N/A · Jamie Snowden✓ Value Signal
Chartwell Jock
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
N/A · Seamus Mullins◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rebel Tribesman leads the field with SR 98 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-4 is manageable for a horse of this class.
ShortlistRebel Tribesman, Crackalackin, Kamille Au Kanada, Lady Litigator, Shamsat
