All three hunter chase wins have come at Downpatrick, including a repeat of last year's victory in 3m5f contest just 10 days ago; trainer admits he's a different horse at that track, which renders him opposable here.
Form last 623P5-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
108SR125RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Has a particular fondness for Killarney and won for the fifth time there three weeks ago, where he beat What Path by 1.5l over a slightly shorter trip; was just doing enough, so headgear back on; likes good ground.
Form last 64194-1
★AI Rating★★★★☆
129SR135RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 129 backed by market confidence at 2/1 — a genuine contender.
Looked a smart prospect when beating Its On The Line at Down Royal in December 2024; disappointing overall since then, except for an 18l Fairyhouse win last year; 66-1 at Punchestown festival, still prominent when exiting a mile out; well held in a point a week later.
Form last 6UP3U-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
106SR130RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Good record in point-to-points, winning five; having won his first hunter chase start at Killarney, was favourite when second in this last year; well held in a couple of hunter chases this year and departed early on at Killarney.
Form last 65561-U
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
109SR126RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Old boy was smart handicapper in Britain back in the day; took advantage of his rivals' mishaps when winning at Fairyhouse; beaten a long way in the Champion Hunter Chase at Punchestown.
Form last 634210-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
123SR131RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won a Grade 2 handicap over 2m4f a couple of years ago for Harry Fry before losing form; some good efforts in point-to-points, including recent win under this jockey; previously, was only around 7l off stablemate Solitary Man over 2m4f at Cork (disqualified, rider weighed in marginally light).
Form last 6226D-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR133RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Four wins over hurdles (rated 130), one of them here; maiden after 10 chase starts and has had jumping issues, but was second off 120 at Roscommon last summer; only beaten 7l in Champion Hunters Chase at Punchestown where he was a huge price.
Form last 6UP445-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
122SR143RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Useful soft-ground staying handicapper for Barry Connell back in the day; yet to win a point but only 2l off What Path in banks' contest in February; well held over the banks at Punchestown last month.
Form last 652246-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR132RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Useful 3m hurdler for Willie Mullins before fruitless spell over fences in Britain; seems to have been revitalised by point-to-points, winning three in the spring; in contention when slipping up in banks race at Punchestown; chased home Solitary Man at Killarney and 3lb better off here.
Form last 6211S-2
★AI Rating★★★★☆
130SR136RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Solitary Man owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1E BolgerMr J M Halford(7)
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
What Path
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Ian O'Connor✓ Value Signal
Call The Tune
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · G Ahern◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
What Path leads the field with SR 130 and is trading at 9/2. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.
ShortlistWhat Path, Solitary Man, Five Star Getaway, Ambitious Fellow, Hunt Away