Took advantage of a sliding mark when easily winning an ordinary Nottingham handicap from the front five weeks ago; drawn to attack again and fine on Tapeta but an 8lb rise will test him into a deeper race.
Form last 6-75341
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR80RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Three wins, and most racing, come over 7f, including when making all on his second start for this yard on Polytrack off 6lb higher in the winter; not at his best lately and, while well drawn, may not get his own way as he likes back down in trip.
Form last 6376477
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR81RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
All eight wins come over this trip, including three over C&D, but never off a mark quite this high; nothing to suggest he's best caught fresh but the booking of Oisin Murphy is an obvious plus after three months off.
Form last 602-084
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR79RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Currently 2-3 on Tapeta but he's generally struggled since leaving Karl Burke, his only win coming when allowed his own way in a small field last summer (been dropped in lately); the first-time tongue-tie will need to make a difference.
Form last 6006-76
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR75RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Decent 2yo who proved hard to place last year and has again lacked consistency this spring; the blinkers come off as he makes his AW debut off a career-low mark and it's hard to know what to expect in truth.
Form last 6-02487
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR80RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Decent 2yo who struggled last year, coming more than a stone down the weights; found his level again latterly on Tapeta but he ran poorly on his turf comeback in April and others make more obvious appeal.
Form last 60463-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR80RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Enjoying a consistent year, winning twice from the front at Kempton since the blinkers went on (doesn't have to lead); nothing wrong with his clear second at Southwell a month ago and holds decent claims despite a further 2lb rise.
Form last 6333172
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR83RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Listed winner in Ireland as a 2yo who regressed sharply for Jamie Osborne; been off for four four months since well held over C&D and the change of scenery will need to have done the trick.
Form last 6645-96
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR78RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Can miss the break and is often ridden from off the pace (every chance she will be again from stall 12); notched a third C&D win when taking a small-field affair against her own sex off 2lb lower in April; slight drop-off latest and has to bounce back.
Form last 66-3134
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR80RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wins for Heather Main came at Kempton; not at his best for this yard, including back to sprinting last time after a spell over further, and isn't obviously fancied from the outside stall.
Form last 6353609
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR79RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Took advantage of a sliding mark round Lingfield in the winter (last four wins come there but is fine on Tapeta); off the boil since and this is a bit tougher; would want to see some support tonight.
Form last 61-2100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR82RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Three Newcastle wins for Richard Spencer over the winter, latterly off 5lb lower, and remained competitive before changing hands for 5,000gns; usual tongue-tie/blinkers absent for his new yard latest (same again here), when well below par on turf.
Form last 6302348
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR81RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Havana Sky owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Ed DunlopOisin Murphy
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Initial Blue
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole✓ Value Signal
Watermelon Sugar
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Chelsea Banham◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Initial Blue leads the field with SR 83 and is trading at 4/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-6 is manageable for a horse of this class.