Well suited by switchback tracks and took advantage of a handy mark when winning on his C&D comeback in April; found life tougher off his revised mark in better company here last time but this is more his speed back down 2lb.
Form last 6904-16
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR75RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Better record on Polytrack than turf and the handicapper's given him every chance, with him now 3lb lower than when not beaten far as favourite over C&D in January; looks set to go well back on the AW.
Form last 665-364
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR79RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won her first two as a 2yo and entered handicaps on an unrealistic mark; best efforts of late have come on Tapeta but she's won on Polytrack and has been offering more of late; capable at this level.
Form last 65-5037
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR76RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tapeta win last summer came off this mark and the booking of Rossa Ryan is a positive as he returns to the AW after three ordinary efforts on turf; not always looked straightforward and interesting to see whether support comes this time.
Form last 6-35079
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR76RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Epsom winner last August for regular partner Donagh Murphy off a 5lb lower mark; fair comeback over C&D behind Buy The Dip in April (6lb better off today) but didn't build on that back on turf a fortnight ago.
Form last 6242-34
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR74RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Enjoyed a revival for James Owen and this yard earlier in the year, with three wins, including two round here; up in the weights now, though, and finished well behind a couple of these over C&D a month ago; needs more from somewhere.
Form last 6346140
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR75RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two turf wins here and two Polytrack victories at Kempton, latterly off 3lb lower in January; below-par in first-time cheekpieces (retained) when last seen four months ago (won fresh before) but remains on a workable mark.
Form last 678-316
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR75RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rated much higher when joining this yard in autumn 2024; remained consistent enough off a sliding mark during the winter but needs more if he's to snap the losing run.
Form last 6454352
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR76RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Goes back to the blinkers worn for both Newcastle wins, latterly off 3lb lower, for Iain Jardine in the winter but again no sign of the usual tongue-tie; big price and well held for his new yard on turf a few weeks ago.
Form last 6-42198
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR76RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hold-up filly whose win for Ed Dunlop, from whom she was picked up in April for 7,500gns, came on Tapeta; become hard to predict and there's no sign of the usual headgear back from a short break.
Form last 6-67305
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR78RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Regressive maiden who had breaks between his three handicaps runs last year (beaten a long way each time); the first-time headgear will need to be a difference maker back from six months off.
Form last 653070-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR72RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Useful 2yo for Charles Hills who struggled badly during a limited campaign last season; handicapper quick to ease off and it wouldn't be the biggest shock were he to pop up for a yard also responsible for Searchingtheblues.
Form last 609-007
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR71RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Virtue Patience owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Amanda PerrettDavid Probert
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Pitney
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Michael Attwater✓ Value Signal
Secret Road
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Laura Mongan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Pitney leads the field with SR 72 and is trading at 10/3. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-3 is manageable for a horse of this class.
ShortlistPitney, Buy The Dip, Virtue Patience, Mbappe, Play Me