Bill Lewtons 80th Birthday Novice Stakes · 1m2f
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Strong Man Tom | 250/1 open 151.00 | — | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Madame Dragon | 125/1 open 67.00 | — | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Prophet Squeeze | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Alfaraz | evn open 1.80 | — | evn open 1.73 | evn open 1.73 | 10/11 open 1.73 | evn open 1.67 | evn Bet365 |
| 5 Blue Hercules | 12/1 open 9.50 | — | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Echo Of Stars | 9/4 open 4.00 | — | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 7 El Nay | 4/1 | — | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Kinetic Impact | 22/1 open 15.00 | — | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Echo Of Stars owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Alfaraz leads the field with SR 100 and is trading at 4/5. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.