Wolverhampton (AW) 18:40 RESULTED
Class 4 29 May 2026

Last Friday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m142y

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Flagpole (IRE) Billy Loughnane · John & Thady Gosden
    10/1
  2. 2/1
  3. Third Hatour (IRE)
    11/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Always Happy silks
Always Happy
Age 3 · 9-9
12
87
97
93
3
9-9
10/3 5/2 3/1
Siyouni filly who got off to a winning start in 1m Southwell novice in March; beaten at odds-on but advanced her form when second of 12 under a penalty in 1m Lingfield novice 17 days ago; she holds very good form claims.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Flagpole silks
Flagpole
Age 3 · 9-2
4-
85
85
3
9-2
7/1 6/1 13/2
15-2, encouraging debut fourth of 14 in 1m Southwell novice in November; this Starspangledbanner filly seems sure to build on it after a break.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Hatour silks
Hatour
Age 3 · 9-2
4-3
92
88
3
9-2
7/1 9/4 13/2
Sioux Nation filly; has shaped with promise on both her runs, running on well late on when third of nine in 7f Lingfield novice on her return 17 days ago; this step up in trip promises to suit; player.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Hollywell Stream silks
Hollywell Stream
Age 3 · 9-2
2-
91
89
3
9-2
10/11 6/5 5/6
13-2, promising neck second of six in maiden at Doncaster (7f, soft) on her debut in October; winner has gone in again since, so this Lope De Vega filly must enter calculations with Oisin Murphy in the saddle.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Moonlit Surf silks
Moonlit Surf
Age 3 · 9-2
6-6
57
82
3
9-2
18/1 22/1 16/1
Oasis Dream filly; still looked green but improved when sixth of ten in 1m Windsor maiden 11 days ago; can do better still, especially once handicapping.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Venetian Sky silks
Venetian Sky
Age 3 · 9-2
0-3
69
82
3
9-2
22/1 12/1 20/1
St Mark's Basilica filly who took a big step forward from her debut when a running-on third of six in 7f Yarmouth novice 29 days ago; she's open to further progress, especially over this longer distance.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Always Happy 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 Bet365
2 Flagpole 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 Bet365
3 Hatour 7/1 open 3.25 7/1 open 3.75 7/1 open 3.75 7/1 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.33 7/1 Bet365
4 Hollywell Stream 10/11 open 2.50 10/11 open 2.25 10/11 open 2.25 5/6 open 2.20 10/11 open 2.25 10/11 Bet365
5 Moonlit Surf 18/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
6 Venetian Sky 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hollywell Stream

Live signal

Hollywell Stream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/11 Jane Chapple-Hyam Oisin Murphy
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Always Happy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Venetian Sky

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · William Haggas
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Hollywell Stream
59.7 10/11
2 1. Always Happy
56.6 10/3
3 2. Flagpole
54.2 7/1
4 3. Hatour
52.6 7/1
5 5. Moonlit Surf
38.1 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Always Happy
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-2
10/11
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-2
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Always Happy
Confidence: Medium

Always Happy leads the field with SR 97 and is trading at 4/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Always Happy, Hatour, Hollywell Stream, Flagpole, Venetian Sky
Each-way: Hatour Danger: Hollywell Stream

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m142y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade