Race Card Explorer BETA

15:00 Chepstow 29 May 2026 Bill Lewtons 80th Birthday Novice Stakes

  • 8 Runners
  • Class 3 Class
  • 1m2f Trip
  • Good to Firm Going
Racecard
1

Strong Man Tom

William Cox Barry John Murphy

55SR 250/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 10 · Field avg 39 -29

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 44% -44

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • William Cox 9 wins from 299 rides 3 WIN %
  • Barry John Murphy 2 wins from 46 runners 4 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
2

Madame Dragon

Taylor Fisher Polly Gundry

59SR 125/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 1 run

Only one run on file — not enough to plot a trend. Single score: 10.

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 44% -44

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Taylor Fisher 18 wins from 176 rides 10 WIN %
  • Polly Gundry 1 wins from 21 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
3

Prophet Squeeze

Mason Paetel(5) Barry John Murphy

59SR 125/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 39 -14

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 44% -44

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Mason Paetel(5) 35 wins from 293 rides 12 WIN %
  • Barry John Murphy 2 wins from 46 runners 4 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
4

Alfaraz

David Probert Andrew Balding

100SR 93RPR 90OR evnOdds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-45 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 48 · Field avg 39 +8

Going Record

on Good to Firm
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 44% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • David Probert 49 wins from 586 rides 8 WIN %
  • Andrew Balding 222 wins from 1156 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 67 together 9WIN %
5

Blue Hercules

Lewis Edmunds William Muir & Chris Grassick

74SR 77RPR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 39 +6

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 44% +56

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Lewis Edmunds 80 wins from 747 rides 11 WIN %
  • William Muir & Chris Grassick 18 wins from 181 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 16 wins from 152 together 11WIN %
6

Echo Of Stars

Jamie Spencer Oliver Cole

95SR 89RPR 87OR 9/4Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 66 · Field avg 39 +27

Going Record

on Good to Firm
67%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 44% +56

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Jamie Spencer 19 wins from 129 rides 15 WIN %
  • Oliver Cole 11 wins from 113 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 4 together 25WIN %
7

El Nay

Sean Levey Richard Hannon

94SR 86RPR 86OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 69 · Field avg 39 +30

Going Record

on Good to Firm
100%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 3 placed · 3 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 44% +56

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Sean Levey 88 wins from 743 rides 12 WIN %
  • Richard Hannon 127 wins from 993 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 53 wins from 365 together 15WIN %
8

Kinetic Impact

Harry Vigors(7) Charles Hills

77SR 22/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 1 run

Only one run on file — not enough to plot a trend. Single score: 40.

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 44% -44

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Harry Vigors(7) 16 wins from 126 rides 13 WIN %
  • Charles Hills 34 wins from 352 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
5 Drifters
1 Flat