Mrs. Pamela Ann Dobbs Birthday Celebration Handicap Hurdle · 2m5f122y
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
SR 93 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two wins for Chris Down last year, with the first at Chepstow (2m3f, good) and latest at Newton Abbot (3m2f, good); well-held fourth of seven on recent stable debut at Worcester (2m5f) but he ran well for a long way and should benefit from that run; could be dangerous if he can get back near best.
Made it 2-3 for Joe Tizzard when scoring back from another break at Newton Abbot (2m1f, good; 100-30) two weeks ago; up 5lb but that was a comfortable win from off the pace and this step back up in trip should be fine (first hurdle win was over 2m4f); big player.
SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 American Sniper | 3/1 open 4.33 | — | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Byzantium | 3/1 open 3.50 | — | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Impecunious | 10/3 | — | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 11/4 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 4 Ellerton | 9/4 | — | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 Coral |
| 5 Chillhi | 33/1 open 41.00 | — | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sam's Amour | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ellerton owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalMade it 2-3 for Joe Tizzard when scoring back from another break at Newton Abbot (2m1f, good; 100-30) two weeks ago; up 5lb but that was a comfortable win from off the pace and this step back up in trip should be fine (first hurdle win was over 2m4f); big player.
SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
SR 93 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two wins for Chris Down last year, with the first at Chepstow (2m3f, good) and latest at Newton Abbot (3m2f, good); well-held fourth of seven on recent stable debut at Worcester (2m5f) but he ran well for a long way and should benefit from that run; could be dangerous if he can get back near best.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No steamers in this race.
Byzantium leads the field with SR 93 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-11 is manageable for a horse of this class.