Kempton (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 3 27 May 2026

Last Wednesday Unibet Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Unibet Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f219y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Unibet Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Water To Wine (FR) Ryan Moore · John & Thady Gosden
    1/12F
  2. 11/2
  3. 20/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 19 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Surrey King silks
Surrey King Non-Runner
Age 3 · 8-8
9-8
36
55
3
8-8
SP 80/1 50/1
Never remotely in it on debut at Newbury in October (1m) and fared no better when reappearing at Salisbury this month (1m4f); looks one for further down the line.
1
Tripoli Flyer silks
Tripoli Flyer
Age 7 · 9-9
74
51
80
7
9-9
12/1 8/1 11/1
Bagged a bumper and three hurdles, including Grade 2 Dovecote last February; acquitted himself well in two big spring festivals of late; should have a future on the Flat but will likely get a mark after this third start; no headgear.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Noble Grace silks
Noble Grace
Age 5 · 9-4
4
31
62
5
9-4
50/1 28/1 40/1
Went close in sole bumper start at Cheltenham last April but failed to build on that in half a dozen hurdle starts since; last month's Flat debut at Wolverhampton wasn't bad (she made late headway into fourth of eight over 1m4f) but better opportunities await, probably over 1m6f+.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Water To Wine silks
Water To Wine
Age 3 · 9-1
1
72
92
3
9-1
1/5 1/5 3/20
Strong in the betting on debut at Newbury (1m3f) and backers always looked like collecting; carries a 7lb penalty here but is seemingly held in some regard given his next outing was meant to be in the Chester Vase (scratched due to having a temperature) and an entry in the Arc (he's around 50-1) has been made.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Barrister silks
Barrister
Age 3 · 8-8
4-7
52
73
3
8-8
40/1 22/1 28/1
Fair fourth on debut here in October (7f) and was up against some very nice types when seventh at Newbury last month (1m2f; achieved similar amount); will be of greater interest once handicapping.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Flag Of Eva silks
Flag Of Eva
Age 3 · 8-8
6
15
3
8-8
125/1 FCST 100/1
Slowly away and trailed in last on debut at Nottingham 18 days ago (8.3f; 66-1); surely needs more time.
Spotlight

Slowly away and trailed in last on debut at Nottingham 18 days ago (8.3f; 66-1); surely needs more time.

6
Humphrey silks
Humphrey
Age 3 · 8-8
3
8-8
7/1 FCST 6/1
Fifth foal; closely related to 1m3f Listed winner Lionel, half-brother to 1m6f Group 2 winner Gregory; dam 14.5f Group 2 winner from classy family; market highly informative on debut, particularly in relation to stablemate/previous winner Water To Wine; non-runner at Haydock on Thursday due to the ground.
Spotlight

Fifth foal; closely related to 1m3f Listed winner Lionel, half-brother to 1m6f Group 2 winner Gregory; dam 14.5f Group 2 winner from classy family; market highly informative on debut, particularly in relation to stablemate/previous winner Water To Wine; non-runner at Haydock on Thursday due to the ground.

7
Sandpyper silks
Sandpyper
Age 3 · 8-8
49
3
8-8
100/1 FCST 80/1
8,000euros yearling; 10,000gns breeze-up 2yo; twelfth foal; half-brother to four winners at up to 1m2f; dam 6f 2yo winner (including Group 2; RPR 116); already gelded; probably best watched on debut representing new training partnership.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Take A Chill Pill silks
Take A Chill Pill
Age 3 · 8-8
55
79
3
8-8
20/1 FCST 18/1
Finished fifth on debut at Newmarket and still looked in need of the experience when filling the same position, and recording the same RPR, at Chester 19 days ago (upped from 1m to 12.2f); headgear (cheekpieces) could help to focus him but he's another who will likely come into his own once handicapping.
Spotlight

Finished fifth on debut at Newmarket and still looked in need of the experience when filling the same position, and recording the same RPR, at Chester 19 days ago (upped from 1m to 12.2f); headgear (cheekpieces) could help to focus him but he's another who will likely come into his own once handicapping.

10
White Storm silks
White Storm
Age 3 · 8-8
49
3
8-8
12/1 13/2 12/1
170,000gns yearling; third foal; brother to two winners, including White Birch (7f-10.5f, including AW/Group 1; RPR 125); dam 6f/7f AW winner (100); already gelded; makes some appeal on paper and training partnership has 21% strike-rate in AW maidens/novices in the last five years.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Blue Birdie silks
Blue Birdie
Age 3 · 8-3
8
33
46
3
8-3
125/1 80/1 100/1
100-1 when failing to beat a rival on debut over C&D three weeks ago; can't consider.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Emerald Reine silks
Emerald Reine
Age 3 · 8-3
77
45
59
3
8-3
150/1 80/1 125/1
Beat just Blue Birdie over C&D three weeks ago, having trailed in last on debut at Yarmouth; look elsewhere.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Surrey King 66/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 Bet365
1 Tripoli Flyer 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Noble Grace 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
3 Water To Wine 1/5 open 1.25 2/13 open 1.20 2/13 open 1.20 2/13 open 1.20 2/13 open 1.25 1/5 Bet365
4 Barrister 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
5 Flag Of Eva 125/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 Bet365
6 Humphrey 7/1 6/1 6/1 13/2 6/1 7/1 Bet365
7 Sandpyper 100/1 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 100/1 Bet365
9 Take A Chill Pill 20/1 18/1 18/1 20/1 18/1 20/1 Bet365
10 White Storm 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 William Hill
11 Blue Birdie 125/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 open 81.00 125/1 Bet365
12 Emerald Reine 150/1 open 126.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 81.00 150/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Humphrey

Speculative

Humphrey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Balanced lens leaned on market confidence (68) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 John & Thady Gosden Tyler Heard
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Water To Wine

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

1/5 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Sandpyper

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Kevin & Lauren Frost
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating No data
No data
⚖ Weight 38% +0.0 pts

No SR / RPR / TS data on the winner — its weight has been redistributed across the other signals.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +24.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +7.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +9.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +9.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +6.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Humphrey
58.5 7/1
2 3. Water To Wine
54.0 1/5
3 10. White Storm
43.4 12/1
4 9. Take A Chill Pill
42.8 20/1
5 1. Tripoli Flyer
41.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Water To Wine
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-1
1/5
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 8-8
7/1
🐾

Fifth foal; closely related to 1m3f Listed winner Lionel, half-brother to 1m6f Group 2 winner Gregory; dam 14.5f Group 2 winner from classy family; market highly informative on debut, particularly in relation to stablemate/previous winner Water To Wine; non-runner at Haydock on Thursday due to the ground.

1
Age 7 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Age 3 · 8-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 3 · 8-8
20/1
🐾

Finished fifth on debut at Newmarket and still looked in need of the experience when filling the same position, and recording the same RPR, at Chester 19 days ago (upped from 1m to 12.2f); headgear (cheekpieces) could help to focus him but he's another who will likely come into his own once handicapping.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Drifters Drifted — market cooling

No drifters in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Water To Wine
Confidence: Medium

Water To Wine leads the field with SR 72 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-1 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Water To Wine, Barrister, Tripoli Flyer, Sandpyper, White Storm
Each-way: Barrister Danger: Tripoli Flyer

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m2f219y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade