Ballinrobe 18:05 RESULTED
25 May 2026

Monday 25 May McHale Tiger Roll Beginners Chase

McHale Tiger Roll Beginners Chase · 2m1f54y

1248-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

McHale Tiger Roll Beginners Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Net Boy (FR) Sean Flanagan · Barry Connell
    12/1
  2. 12/1
  3. 8/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 19 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Arkhill silks
Arkhill
Age 7 · 11-12
215/F-
76
101
7
11-12
150/1 80/1 150/1
Point-to-point winner; sole start under rules a modest fifth in a Cork maiden hunter chase in April 2025; fell on return from a break in Belcare point-to-point in March; yard form a plus but others preferred.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Bobbysingindablues silks
Bobbysingindablues
Age 6 · 11-12
7/P7P-
82
6
11-12
200/1 150/1 200/1
0-7 over hurdles and rated 100; stopped quickly when pulled up on chasing debut at Kilbeggan on first run for 267 days; watching brief advised for now.
AI verdict

SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.

3
Davy Crockett silks
Davy Crockett
Age 5 · 11-12
10500-
112
5
11-12
9/2 4/1 9/2
Looked a hot prospect when winning his first three starts last summer but progress has stalled; heavy defeats on last four runs over timber, though testing ground probably not ideal for three of them; return to sounder surface a plus, so can't totally discount for top yard.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Kovanis silks
Kovanis
Age 6 · 11-12
31399-
111
6
11-12
10/1 9/1 10/1
Point-to-point, bumper and maiden hurdle winner; came up short in graded company and disappointed on handicap hurdle debut at Fairyhouse latest; bred for this game and no surprise to see him run a big race on chasing debut.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Listentillitellyea silks
Listentillitellyea
Age 10 · 11-12
U35/F-
116
88
119
10
11-12
22/1 20/1 22/1
Winning hurdler has plenty of experience over fences and rated 116; far from disgraced in Listed handicap chases at Fairyhouse and Punchestown last April/May before falling at Galway when last seen in August; could run well if fit after his break.
AI verdict

SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
Must Go Now silks
Must Go Now
Age 9 · 11-12
98309-
81
115
9
11-12
50/1 33/1 40/1
1-17 over timber and rated 109; always behind when beaten 77l on sole chase start at Leopardstown in March (21.5f, yielding); mid-field in Punchestown handicap hurdle latest; others make more appeal.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Net Boy silks
Net Boy
Age 7 · 11-12
3/12U-
108
7
11-12
11/1 FCST 10/1
1-5 over hurdles and rated 121; bad mistake and unseated at the third on chase debut at Leopardstown in March; could go well if putting in a clear round of jumping.
AI verdict

SR 108 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Positive Energy silks
Positive Energy
Age 5 · 11-12
16/40-
90
5
11-12
80/1 66/1 80/1
Dual-purpose; 1-17 over hurdles and rated 117; heavy defeat on debut for this yard in Punchestown handicap hurdle 24 days ago; unproven at this trip; best watched in first chase.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Scalpnagoon silks
Scalpnagoon
Age 6 · 11-12
/063-2
120
112
129
6
11-12
10/1 10/1 17/2
2-7 over hurdles and rated 122 in that sphere; promise in two of three chase starts and rated 120 over fences; beaten 7l over 19.5f (good) at Down Royal latest when a mistake two out proved costly; ground fine here and shorter trip a plus; big player.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Smooth Tom silks
Smooth Tom
Age 7 · 11-12
1/913-
124
7
11-12
9/4 FCST 2/1
Classy hurdler 4-11 in that sphere and rated 140; ground versatile; off since decent Flat run at the Curragh in October; returns with yard in form and his half-brother Royal Hollow has won for this stable over fences; could prove hard to beat if fit.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

11
Sony Bill silks
Sony Bill
Age 5 · 11-12
/8045-
116
5
11-12
13/8 7/4 31/19
Two wins over hurdles in France on heavy ground; yet to hit the target for this yard; beaten off 136 in handicap hurdles at Fairyhouse and Punchestown on last two starts; should make a chaser on breeding, but has to prove he acts on good ground.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Jolie Jewel silks
Jolie Jewel
Age 7 · 11-5
00106-
96
7
11-5
20/1 20/1 18/1
2-18 over hurdles and rated 115; her wins have come over 2m3f and 2m4f so this trip may be on the sharp side on chase debut; likely best watched.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Arkhill 150/1 open 81.00 200/1 open 81.00 200/1 open 81.00 200/1 open 81.00 200/1 200/1 Coral
2 Bobbysingindablues 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 Bet365
3 Davy Crockett 9/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Coral
4 Kovanis 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 10/1 Bet365
5 Listentillitellyea 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 Bet365
6 Must Go Now 50/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Net Boy 11/1 10/1 10/1 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
8 Positive Energy 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 Bet365
9 Scalpnagoon 10/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 11.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 Bet365
10 Smooth Tom 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 2/1 9/4 Bet365
11 Sony Bill 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 Bet365
12 Jolie Jewel 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Smooth Tom

Live signal

Smooth Tom owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Andrew Slattery Cian Quirke
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sony Bill

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · W P Mullins
✓ Value Signal

Positive Energy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Brian Francis Cawley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Smooth Tom
65.6 9/4
2 11. Sony Bill
63.7 13/8
3 3. Davy Crockett
62.5 9/2
4 4. Kovanis
57.3 10/1
5 9. Scalpnagoon
56.7 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Smooth Tom
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 5 · 11-12
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 7 · 11-12
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 124 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 5 · 11-12
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-12
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 11-12
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 7 · 11-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 7 · 11-5
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Smooth Tom
Confidence: Medium

Smooth Tom leads the field with SR 124 and is trading at 2/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-12 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Smooth Tom, Sony Bill, Davy Crockett, Scalpnagoon, Kovanis
Each-way: Sony Bill Danger: Davy Crockett

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f54y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting