Cartmel 17:11 RESULTED
Class 3 25 May 2026

Monday 25 May Warrior Down Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Warrior Down Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m5f34y

548-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Warrior Down Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sean Og (IRE) Sean Quinlan · Dianne Sayer
    3/1
  2. 5/6F
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 20 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Pour Les Filles silks
Pour Les Filles
Age 8 · 12-0
P1P50-
130
108
130
8
12-0
6/1 13/2 6/1
Easily won four-runner contest at Ffos Las (2m3f, soft) on stable/chase debut in January but was probably fortunate that day and not much has gone to plan since; never competitive after early jumping errors over the big Aintree fences last month and arrives here with a bit to prove; cheekpieces refitted.
AI verdict

SR 108 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Pony Soprano silks
Pony Soprano
Age 7 · 11-8
3533-1
124
126
135
7
11-8
8/11 8/13 8/11
Off the mark over fences at fifth attempt, with fairly comfortable success in first-time tongue-tie/cheekpieces at Uttoxeter (2m5f, good) this month; back up 7lb for that but probably still has more to offer; makes obvious appeal.
AI verdict

SR 126 backed by market confidence at 8/13 — a genuine contender.

3
Old Gregorian silks
Old Gregorian
Age 7 · 11-5
d/146-
121
119
134
7
11-5
17/2 7/1 17/2
Finished alone in a match race on chase debut in October; not beaten far when last of four at Kelso (2m5f, good to soft) in February but ran poorly over that C&D last month and needs a boost from the new cheekpieces.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Arthur's Quay silks
Arthur's Quay
Age 12 · 10-11
42336-
113
121
134
12
10-11
7/1 13/2 7/1
Getting long in the tooth now and was well beaten on latest outing in March but has a C&D win on his CV and is well handicapped on form as recent as the autumn; cannot be ruled out.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Sean Og silks
Sean Og
Age 8 · 10-2
42674-
104
120
136
8
10-2
5/1 11/2 9/2
Dual C&D winner who returned from break with two low-key runs in February/March; usually knocks about in lower-grade races than this but returns to this track on a workable mark (even from 3lb out of the weights) and is versatile regarding ground.
AI verdict

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Pour Les Filles 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
2 Pony Soprano 8/11 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.62 4/5 William Hill
3 Old Gregorian 17/2 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 Coral
4 Arthur's Quay 7/1 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
5 Sean Og 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pony Soprano

Live signal

Pony Soprano owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (70) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
83% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Arthur's Quay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Ben Haslam
✓ Value Signal

Old Gregorian

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

17/2 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Pony Soprano
69.1 8/11
2 4. Arthur's Quay
60.9 7/1
3 5. Sean Og
60.3 5/1
4 3. Old Gregorian
60.3 17/2
5 1. Pour Les Filles
59.0 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pony Soprano
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-8
8/11
★★★★☆ SR 126 🐾

SR 126 backed by market confidence at 8/13 — a genuine contender.

5
Age 8 · 10-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 120 🐾

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 12 · 10-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 121 🐾

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-5
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pony Soprano
Confidence: Medium

Pony Soprano leads the field with SR 126 and is trading at 8/13. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Pony Soprano, Arthur's Quay, Sean Og, Old Gregorian, Pour Les Filles
Each-way: Arthur's Quay Danger: Sean Og

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m5f34y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade