Suir Blueway Handicap · 1m1f168y
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.
SR 61 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 40 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 46 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 John La Bear | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 Ladbrokes |
| 2 Ella's Gold | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 13/2 Coral |
| 3 Mare Crisium | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 9/2 Coral |
| 4 Sweetie Too | 11/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 5 Concaire | 7/2 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 10/3 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Queen Of Astolat | 28/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Zitkala Sa | 28/1 open 26.00 | 30/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Incredible Army | 33/1 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Borora Aura | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Ochtar Againn | 33/1 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Arizona Star | 11/2 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 12 Mrs Lady Bella | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Cadreville | 6/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Garryowen Green | 14/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mare Crisium owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 61 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ella's Gold (SR:57, 13/2) is one of the two joint-highest rated runners in the field and carries a favourable weight of 10-1, lighter than top-weight John La Bear (10-2). Critically, she is the only runner in the field with a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 1m1f168y trip, which is a decisive edge in a race where the majority of rivals show DistFit:? or DistFit:-. The market has shortened by 16% since opening — the sharpest steaming move in the field — suggesting informed support from connections. Ben Coen (11% career strike rate from 1,783 rides) is a meaningful upgrade in the saddle, and the 8-day turnaround from a yard operating at 8% win rate indicates confidence in current fitness. Each-way alternative: Concaire. Main danger: Concaire — Concaire (SR:61, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field, ridden by W. J. Lee who strikes at 15% career rate, and at 9-12 carries a lighter weight than Ella's Gold — if the DistFit:? proves a non-issue over this trip, his superior SR makes him a genuine winning threat.