Nowshesdancing shaped with plenty of credit last time, finishing second, and her profile stacks up well as the top-rated runner in the field with experience over today's trip; the main concern is that 55 days off the track leaves her fitness to prove.
Form last 613632
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR84RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ladykirk shaped with promise when a close second two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, arriving here 21 days on from her last outing in sound order; winless in her last five, she'll need to bounce back from a disappointing eighth last time, but at 136 lb from stall five her overall profile makes her our call.
Form last 62-5528
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR80RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Alice de Clare was a winner two starts back and has won three times in her last six starts, making her a genuine threat from stall three on a mark of 78, though the disqualification last time out leaves a question mark over her current standing.
Form last 621171D
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR78RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rossa Raheen won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, arriving here on a 34-day break with a rating of 80 suggesting she holds solid claims, though her sixth last time out is the obvious concern.
Form last 6026416
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR80RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Shangri La has been frustratingly consistent without threatening at the top, and our rating ranks her seventh of nine; she has run over today's trip and steps back into the plate after 34 days, but it is hard to make a strong case for her.
Form last 6443-53
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR75RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures, Princess Honey Bee makes this look tough, and her last-five record shows inconsistency despite a win last time out; she has run over today's going before, and 13 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh.
Form last 64-2241
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR71RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Willow Wood showed she can win at this level with a victory three starts back, though a fifth two starts back and third last time out paint a mixed picture; she has run over today's trip and going, and 40 days off shouldn't inconvenience her unduly.
Form last 65-4153
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR77RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Clocker won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but she was beaten into eighth last time out carrying 124 lb from stall 1, leaving her with something to prove on that latest effort despite a our rating of 77 suggesting capability.
Form last 6461218
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR77RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Caraway is hard to fancy despite a consistent recent profile that includes a win and two runner-up finishes in her last six starts; she has run over today's trip before and a trainer striking at 30% is the most compelling angle in her favour.
Form last 6461322
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR75RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alice de Clare owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4James FanshaweGeorge Wood
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Caraway
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · William Haggas✓ Value Signal
Princess Honey Bee
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Craig Lidster◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Alice de Clare (SR:84, 4/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by 2 points over Clocker and carries a favourable 9-8, giving her a real weight edge over top-weight Nowshesdancing (9-12) and Ladykirk (9-10). Her form string 21171D shows a hat-trick of wins including a course victory (Course:W1P1), making her the only runner with a proven win at Yarmouth. The 6% market support (Mkt:in6%) confirms confidence from connections despite the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) and 6lb mark increase — Fanshawe's 18% yard strike rate underpins that this yard fires their horses ready. The 'D' at the end of her form is a disqualification rather than a defeat, so her underlying consistency remains intact.
Each-way alternative: Clocker.
Main danger: Clocker — Clocker (SR:82, 5/1) carries the lightest weight in the competitive tier at 8-12, has confirmed distance suitability (DistFit:+), holds a 5% market support move (Mkt:in5%), and Bethell/Loughnane is one of the sharpest yard-jockey combinations in training at 18% apiece — the 8 in her last run came from class 3 and her underlying form figures include a recent win.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
A 6lb mark rise alongside a class step up (ClassMv:↑1) is a double penalty — she has not previously demonstrated she can handle both simultaneously, and her SR of 84 may not be enough headroom to abs…
Jockey George Wood posts only an 11% strike rate, meaningfully below the field average; rivals Loughnane (18%) on Clocker and Shoemark (14%) on Willow Wood offer stronger pilot profiles at comparable…
Clocker (SR:82, 5/1) is only 2 points behind on rating, carries 10lbs less at 8-12, is in comparable market form (in5%) with an 18% trainer/18% jockey combination — she has a live, well-handicapped r…
The disqualification ('D') ending her recent form string adds a regulatory cloud; if connections or handicapper scrutiny follows her into this race, it may have contributed to the stewards' assessmen…
ShortlistAlice de Clare, Clocker, Caraway, Shangri La