Finn Ironside arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, bringing sharp recent form that makes him the pick despite a quick four-day turnaround; he has run over today's distance and going before, and carries 141 lb from stall 12.
Form last 6874521
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR70RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Emery Down showed she can win when landing a success most recently, but four finishes outside the places in her last six starts suggest inconsistency; she has run over today's trip and going, carries 140 lb from stall one, and an official mark of 65 keeps her competitive.
Form last 6544261
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR66RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and drawn in stall 18, The Childe Of Hale faces an uphill task, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 25 days off; a trainer striking at just 4% recently does him no favours.
Form last 606-905
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR68RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.
Luminous Warrior has back-to-back wins and a second last time out to recommend him, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but a weight of 139 lb, an official mark of 64, and our rating ranking him 15th of 18 make him hard to fancy at face value.
Form last 6862112
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR62RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Camera Shy showed he can win, a winner six starts back, but has been beaten into fifth or lower in his last three outings; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 137 lb from stall eight, and the quick seven-day turnaround is a potential concern.
Form last 6176455
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR65RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
Returning after 82 days off and ranked 14th of 18 on our figures, Mayo County faces a stiff ask, and an unplaced effort last time out does little to inspire confidence, though she does bring distance and going experience and a win in her last six starts to the table.
Form last 6833140
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR63RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Travis has run over today's trip and going before and arrives here 26 days fresh, carrying 136 lb from stall 15 with a rating of 72 that marks him as the top-ranked runner in the field; the concern is that he was unplaced last time out.
Form last 6013330
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR72RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hatamoto won last time out and was second two starts back, but slipped to sixth three starts back, giving a mixed recent profile; he has experience over today's trip and going, and 135 lb from stall three is the weight to factor against his current official mark of 64.
Form last 6211621
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR66RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rousham has run over today's trip and going, and a win four starts back shows he can get to the front, but a sixth last time out and a trainer without a winner in 22 recent attempts are harder to overlook at 134 lb from stall 14.
Form last 6721046
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR69RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and held back by modest recent efforts, Bleep Test does bring distance and going experience to the table, and 32 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh, though her figures leave her with plenty to find against stronger company here.
Form last 64-0807
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR68RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Sailor Batt does at least offer two thirds in recent outings as encouragement, and he has run over today's trip before, though 146 days off the track and a career-high 133 lb from stall 16 make this a stiff ask.
Form last 66-2533
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR65RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Black Rock Beauty has finished ninth last time out and sixth two starts back, leaving him hard to fancy from stall 10, and ranked 13 of 18 on our figures; a win four starts back offers a crumb of hope, and he does have experience of today's distance and going.
Form last 6741369
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR63RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Uncertainty is yet to show the consistency her experience over today's trip and going suggests she is capable of, though a 40-day freshener and a rating of 64 offer slim encouragement from stall seven at 132 lb.
Form last 6-87976
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR64RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Cavallo Pazzo holds a rating of 69 against an official mark of 57, suggesting he is well treated on paper and represents a live threat from stall 17, having experience of today's trip and going; the concern is a 335-day absence leaves his current fitness an open question.
Form last 6/7976-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR69RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 16 of 18 on our figures, Sun Of Dolly is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and comes here on a fresh enough 20-day break from a second two starts back.
Form last 6648527
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR59RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Head For Freedom has shown enough encouragement — fourth three starts back and again fourth five starts back — to pose a serious threat here, and our rating of 71 ranks him second of 18 in the field; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts and must bounce back from an eighth last time out.
Form last 6-49458
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR71RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Gwen's Girl has been consistently out of the frame in recent outings, and a 93-day break adds to the queries; experience over today's trip and going is the one genuine positive she brings.
Form last 604-766
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR59RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Secret Testimony has little obvious appeal here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 52 days between runs leaves him reasonably fresh, but that is slim ammunition.
Form last 6-89746
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR55RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Finn Ironside owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Ivan FurtadoElle-May Croot(5)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Hatamoto
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
Gwen's Girl
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Mark Walford◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Hatamoto (SR:71, 5/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin and carries just 9-9, giving it a useful weight edge over the heavier-burdened rivals. The form string 211621 shows consistent competitiveness with a last-time-out win, and DistFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness at 7f — the most reliable distance fit in the shortlist. Tim Easterby's yard (9%, 2102 runners) is a volume operation with David Allan (11%, 956) booked as the yard's #1 ahead of Harry Russell on stablemate Bleep Test. The slight market drift of 9% is worth noting, but with no comparable SR rival and genuine 7f form, the fundamentals outweigh the drift.
Each-way alternative: Sun Of Dolly.
Main danger: Finn Ironside — Finn Ironside (SR:66, 11/2) has steamed in 21% in the market, drops a class, and Furtado's yard clearly prefers it to The Childe Of Hale — that combination of market confidence and yard intent makes it the most credible threat to Hatamoto.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Hatamoto is a 3yo stepping into a competitive 18-runner handicap against older horses aged 4-7 who are typically more physically mature and seasoned at this level.
The 9% market drift out to 5/1 in a race where rivals like Travis (+32% in) and Sun Of Dolly (+32% in) are attracting significant support suggests informed money is moving away from Hatamoto.
Luminous warrior (SR:67) shows a more recent form sequence of 862112 — also finishing with two wins — and carries only 4lb more despite a higher SR rating from an in-form smaller yard (10% strike rat…
HG:p flag suggests Hatamoto's last-time-out win came on good-to-soft or softer ground; Redcar in September can be faster, and any firmer surface could undermine the DistFit:+ advantage.
ShortlistHatamoto, Finn Ironside, Sun Of Dolly, Travis