Rewired shaped with plenty of promise when runner-up last time out, and has run over today's trip and going, with a win in his last five starts boosting his claims; the significant concern is a 472-day absence, which leaves his current fitness an open question.
Form last 619442/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR76RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Swift Salian has been a model of consistency, finishing second three times in his last five starts, and having run over today's trip and going he arrives on an 11-day turnaround with conditions posing no concerns; the main worry is that he remains winless and his last two efforts were an unplaced run and an eighth.
Form last 6-22208
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR75RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Arkenstaar has run over today's trip and going before, but his latest run was an unplaced effort and he returns after 110 days off; the two wins in his last five starts show ability, yet that recent blank and the layoff leave questions to answer from stall one carrying 136 lb.
Form last 6114-30
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR73RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Barley has been consistently competitive in recent starts, finishing second and third twice in his last six, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the chief concern is that he returns just three days after his last outing and is yet to win in this recent spell.
Form last 6332440
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR76RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hostility brings a lively recent profile with two wins in his last six starts, most recently a third last time out after winning two starts back, and he returns after a 21-day break looking fresh; he has run over today's distance and going before, and 133 lb from stall seven is the manageable context here.
Form last 6721513
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR74RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, Spiritoftheblues has shown consistent placing ability with a second two starts back and a third three starts back, and she has run over today's trip before; 31 days between runs and a pound-for-pound burden of 132 lb from stall five are the checks against her.
Form last 6-72324
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR72RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts, Albemagic has posted back-to-back runner-up finishes though our figures rank him well adrift of his rivals here, and 45 days off the track adds a fitness query despite experience over today's trip.
Form last 6722
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
62SR55RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Zermatt Star won last time out and returns on a quick eight-day turnaround, which underlines her fitness, and she has run over today's trip before; however, three unplaced efforts in her last five starts suggest inconsistency, and 131 lb is a stiff enough burden to overcome.
Form last 6-00401
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tee Aitch Aye arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but ranked ninth of eleven on our figures he faces a stiff task, and 130 lb is a significant burden to overcome.
Form last 6076321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR68RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bellasio has been unplaced in each of his last two starts and ranks tenth of eleven on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite a win three starts back and experience over today's distance and going; the low draw and quick turnaround offer little compensation.
Form last 6552100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR64RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Epidavros has run over today's trip and going before, but she arrives off an eighth last time out and is winless in her last six starts, making improvement hard to fancy despite a our rating of 71 that nudges above her official mark.
Form last 6443548
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR71RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tee Aitch Aye owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Iain JardineJack Nicholls(3)
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Zermatt Star
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood✓ Value Signal
Arkenstaar
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Michael Dods◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Tee Aitch Aye (SR:75, 10/3) arrives off a last-time-out win just 7 days ago, form reading 076321 — progressive trajectory into today's Class 5 step up. The SR of 75 is competitive for this grade, and running off the same mark as the last win (MarkMv:=) means the handicapper has not yet raised him, preserving the winning edge. Jockey Jack Nicholls (12% strike rate) provides adequate experience, and the light weight of 9-4 is a genuine advantage over Zermatt Star and Hostility at 9-5/9-7. The market has drifted slightly (out8%) which is a mild concern, but the recency of the win and the favourable weight allocation outweigh that signal in a moderate Class 5 field.
Each-way alternative: Hostility.
Main danger: Zermatt Star — Zermatt Star (SR:77, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a last-time-out win, running off the same mark (MarkMv:=), and despite a minor drift of 5% the market still has it as the clear favourite — that SR advantage combined with the light weight of 9-5 makes it the most obvious threat to the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
HG:p flag suggests a going preference that may not be guaranteed today at Carlisle — if conditions have changed since last win, the surface edge evaporates.
Zermatt Star (SR:77) holds a higher speed rating, ran just 8 days ago (similar freshness), is on the same MarkMv:= and is a shorter-priced market leader at 3/1 despite Tee Aitch Aye being sent off 10…
Hostility (SR:79, top SR in field) has W2P4 course record at Carlisle and is trained by David O'Meara with Daniel Tudhope aboard — superior course form and jockey combination represent a concrete thr…
Jack Nicholls sports only a 12% strike rate but crucially carries the (3) claim, suggesting limited big-race experience, while rival jockeys Tudhope (16%) and Nolan (10%) have higher volume and cours…