Wolverhampton (AW) 19:00 18 May 2026
Class 5 18 May 2026

Monday 18 May attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB Race) · 1m142y

748-Hr decs

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  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Mountain Cat Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 1 week, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rogue Defence silks
Rogue Defence
Age 3 · 9-9
1
53
81
3
9-9
SP FCST 5/1
Sent off 9-2 when winning on debut at Lingfield (1m, AW) four weeks ago; carries a 7lb penalty today and the extra 2f isn't an obvious plus judged on his pedigree, but this half-brother to Group 3 winner Meraas could have plenty more to offer and he's a leading player.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Rua Mor silks
Rua Mor
Age 4 · 9-12
0-
23
44
4
9-12
80/1 FCST 66/1
Showed little in a maiden and four spins over hurdles in Ireland; sold to join current yard for 12,000euros in February; makes stable debut and unlikely to be seen to best effect until he runs in handicaps.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Mountain Cat silks
Mountain Cat
Age 3 · 9-10
1
62
82
3
9-10
1/8 5/17 1/9
Showed inexperience leaving the stalls but ultimately ran out a comfortable winner on his debut at Doncaster (1m, good to firm) 16 days ago; makes AW debut and should prove hard to beat.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Leopards Rock silks
Leopards Rock
Age 3 · 9-3
42
3
9-3
25/1 20/1 18/1
Fourth foal; by Territories; dam 5f winner (including 2yo/AW; RPR 73), half-sister to useful 5f-7f winner Secretinthepark and prolific winners Dolphin Rock (7f-1m2f) and Somewhere Secret (5f/6f); might be better for this debut but the market can guide.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Roi De Coeur silks
Roi De Coeur
Age 3 · 8-13
7
43
60
3
8-13
18/1 14/1 12/1
Stable is going well but this one looks held by Rogue Defence on their running at Lingfield (1m; 6-1) last month on his debut.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Zabeel Small silks
Zabeel Small
Age 3 · 8-13
44
3
8-13
8/1 11/1 6/1
7,000euros yearling; fifth foal, by Lucky Vega; half-brother to 7f-1m2f winner Euro Nightmare (including 2yo/Listed; RPR 100); dam unraced half-sister to 6f/7f winner Half A Billion, out of 9.6f winning half-sister to 1m2f Group 2 winner Batshoof; stable among the winners; check the betting.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Arc At Her silks
Arc At Her
Age 3 · 8-10
9
35
50
3
8-10
50/1 66/1 33/1
Last of nine on debut at Goodwood (1m, good) 16 days ago; has a lot to prove on this AW debut.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rogue Defence 11/2 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 11/2 Bet365
1 Rua Mor 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 66/1 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 80/1 Bet365
2 Mountain Cat 1/8 open 1.30 2/15 open 1.29 2/15 open 1.29 2/15 open 1.29 1/9 open 1.29 1/8 Bet365
4 Leopards Rock 25/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Roi De Coeur 18/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 14/1 18/1 Bet365
6 Zabeel Small 8/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 8/1 Bet365
7 Arc At Her 50/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mountain Cat

Speculative

Mountain Cat owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

1/8 Saeed bin Suroor Oisin Murphy
80% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Zabeel Small

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · James Tate
✓ Value Signal

Leopards Rock

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Edward Bethell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +2.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Mountain Cat
50.9 1/8
2 6. Zabeel Small
44.2 8/1
3 1. Rogue Defence
42.1 -
4 5. Roi De Coeur
36.4 18/1
5 4. Leopards Rock
34.7 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mountain Cat
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-10
1/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 8-13
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 3 · 8-13
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mountain Cat
Confidence: Medium

Mountain Cat leads the field with SR 62 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-10 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Mountain Cat, Rogue Defence, Zabeel Small, Roi De Coeur, Leopards Rock
Each-way: Rogue Defence Danger: Zabeel Small

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m142y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade