Carlisle 16:00 RESULTED
Class 4 18 May 2026

Monday 18 May racingtv.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

racingtv.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f195y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

racingtv.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Freddie Steady Go (GB) Cam Hardie · Susan Corbett
    150/1
  2. Second Wezzeer (IRE)
    7/2
  3. 100/30
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bee Farmer silks
Bee Farmer
Age 3 · 9-7
6
45
50
3
9-7
10/1 16/1 10/1
90,000euros breeze-up buy; not friendless in the betting at Carlisle last week (7f; 17-2) and it could be that soft ground didn't suit; it would be no surprise to see him leave that form behind.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Freddie Steady Go silks
Freddie Steady Go
Age 5 · 10-1
77
48
71
5
10-1
200/1 125/1 150/1
Bumper who has finished only seventh over 1m in both Flat starts; likely to find better opportunities in handicaps shortly.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Wezzeer silks
Wezzeer
Age 3 · 9-11
31
51
76
3
9-11
7/2 2/1 10/3
Both starts over 6f on AW, justifying favouritism with half-length win at Southwell latest; not the figures pick under a penalty but is open to further progress and enters calculations; likely to stay 7f.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Albemagic silks
Albemagic
Age 3 · 9-4
45
3
9-4
80/1 80/1 66/1
Related to plenty of winners for his owner, notably 7f performer Myal, but they have tended to get better with experience, predominantly when handicapping; best watched on debut.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Blue Boy Junior silks
Blue Boy Junior
Age 3 · 9-4
4
52
73
3
9-4
5/1 15/2 5/1
Attracted support and duly showed promise at Thirsk (7f, good) where he finished fourth of 14, faring best of the newcomers; open to improvement and looks one of the main contenders.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Dark Sovereign silks
Dark Sovereign
Age 3 · 9-4
45-
51
75
3
9-4
4/1 FCST 7/2
Both starts over 7f last August, finishing fourth to useful sort at Doncaster (good to firm) then failing to improve on soft ground at Sandown; gelded since; interesting on the debut form and may still do better.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Golden Harvest silks
Golden Harvest
Age 3 · 9-4
0
45
3
9-4
250/1 125/1 200/1
Not helped by a bad stumble at Leicester (7f; eased and finished last of 12) but was friendless in the betting and is probably one for handicaps later on.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Great Profit silks
Great Profit
Age 3 · 9-4
764-
44
65
3
9-4
150/1 66/1 100/1
Not solid on his sprint form last year for the Fahey yard and contests another novice race rather than switching to a low-grade handicap; sold for 2,600gns and gelded since last run.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Tzarmaggedon silks
Tzarmaggedon
Age 3 · 9-4
9
16
34
3
9-4
125/1 66/1 80/1
Always behind in 7f AW contest at Newcastle; needs to step up markedly on that bare form.
AI verdict

SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Lunar Melody silks
Lunar Melody
Age 3 · 8-13
5-2
64
82
3
8-13
11/10 Evs 11/10
500,000euros breeze-up purchase a year ago; finished fifth at Carlisle (6f) in sole 2yo start then took a step forward with close second at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) on reappearance; has the best chance at the weights, with her sex allowance.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Royal Sizzler silks
Royal Sizzler
Age 3 · 8-13
50-
43
61
3
8-13
150/1 FCST 125/1
Beaten about 16l over further on both 2yo starts; poor claims.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bee Farmer 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 Bet365
1 Freddie Steady Go 200/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 200/1 Bet365
2 Wezzeer 7/2 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Albemagic 80/1 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 80/1 66/1 open 101.00 80/1 Bet365
5 Blue Boy Junior 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 Coral
6 Dark Sovereign 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
7 Golden Harvest 250/1 open 126.00 250/1 open 126.00 250/1 open 126.00 250/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 250/1 Bet365
8 Great Profit 150/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 150/1 Bet365
9 Tzarmaggedon 125/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 125/1 Bet365
10 Lunar Melody 11/10 open 2.20 11/10 open 2.20 11/10 open 2.20 11/10 open 2.00 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 Betfred
11 Royal Sizzler 150/1 open 126.00 125/1 125/1 125/1 125/1 150/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lunar Melody

Speculative

Lunar Melody owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Richard & Peter Fahey James Doyle
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dark Sovereign

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

Freddie Steady Go

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

200/1 · Susan Corbett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Lunar Melody
52.1 11/10
2 6. Dark Sovereign
47.5 4/1
3 2. Wezzeer
46.5 7/2
4 5. Blue Boy Junior
42.5 5/1
5 1. Bee Farmer
39.1 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lunar Melody
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 3 · 8-13
11/10
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
7/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 3 · 9-4
4/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 3 · 9-4
5/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 3 · 9-7
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lunar Melody
Confidence: Medium

Lunar Melody leads the field with SR 64 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-13 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Lunar Melody, Blue Boy Junior, Wezzeer, Dark Sovereign, Freddie Steady Go
Each-way: Blue Boy Junior Danger: Wezzeer

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f195y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade