Leopardstown 19:57 RESULTED
15 May 2026

Friday 15 May Mervue Equine Supplements Handicap

Mervue Equine Supplements Handicap · 1m4f180y

1648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Mervue Equine Supplements Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Masego (IRE) Patrick McGettigan · Ms Margaret Mullins
    9/2
  2. 12/1
  3. 16/5F
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Settled
  • 16 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 2 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Tassarolo silks
Tassarolo Non-Runner
Age 5 · 10-2
48-935
43
66
5
10-2
6/1 13/2 6/1
First reserve; three wins last year, two of them over hurdles; third in 1m4f Curragh handicap in March; another good effort when fifth of 19 at Leopardstown on Friday.
?
Creative Dancer Non-Runner
Age 9 · 8-10
8/87-3
44
56
9
8-10
SP FCST 15/2
Recent Sligo third, on his 16th outing, was his first time in the frame; ground was soft then; his younger rivals have stronger claims.
3
Church Mountain silks
Church Mountain
Age 8 · 10-1
087400
59
42
62
8
10-1
22/1 25/1 20/1
Multiple winner on AW/turf but mostly disappointing since his C&D win in January, nine runs back; bit risky.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Felicity Smoak
Age 4 · 10-0
0/926-
42
63
4
10-0
22/1 20/1 22/1
Poor form over hurdles on winter ground; showed promise when a long-priced second of 18 over 1m2f at Fairyhouse last June; on the same mark now.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Autocrat
Age 6 · 9-12
0-4170
54
64
6
9-12
10/1 20/1 9/1
Six-time AW winner; no success from 17 turf attempts; down the field when quite well fancied at Sligo 12 days ago; held by Maxwell Smart on that running.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Numidia silks
Numidia
Age 8 · 9-11
5-6400
55
41
63
8
9-11
33/1 22/1 33/1
Beaten a long way on turf in his last two races but he's much better on the AW and wasn't beaten far here in March; considered.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Amavasya
Age 4 · 9-11
5485-0
43
65
4
9-11
12/1 10/1 11/1
Ten-race maiden; has slipped in the ratings from an opening mark of 67 to 55; made no impact on seasonal debut in a Limerick race in which Jurality was fifth.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Eastern Wind silks
Eastern Wind
Age 7 · 9-10
74-562
54
42
63
7
9-10
12/1 18/1 12/1
Behind Jawhary and Copper Craft here in April, taking AW record to 0-9 (no places); more effective on turf, as recent Leopardstown second reminded us.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Jurality silks
Jurality
Age 5 · 9-4
2-5553
46
69
5
9-4
7/2 6/1 10/3
Remains a maiden after 23 starts (six over hurdles), didn't really warrant his strong favouritism at Leopardstown last week although ran well when third to an all-the-way winner over 1m5f (good); up further in trip here.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Trishuli River
Age 6 · 9-11
51-523
46
73
6
9-11
17/2 9/1 17/2
Has a fine record at Dundalk, with four wins and seven places from 18 appearances; 0-9 record on turf is a distinct negative, and never placed.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Maxwell Smart
Age 5 · 9-10
1256-3
41
58
5
9-10
15/2 5/1 13/2
1-28 record is a concern; compiled a sequence of seconds; placed seven times in all, including at Sligo 12 days ago; senior rider aboard, with a very capable apprentice on the stable's other runner Eastern Wind; hard to be sure which one will prove best.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Vivacious Lady
Age 5 · 9-10
0946-8
43
54
5
9-10
20/1 11/1 18/1
Fair form on AW in 2024, not at best at Dundalk last winter; weak turf credentials; lacks a recent outing.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Real Petite
Age 4 · 9-6
80090-
23
60
4
9-6
100/1 33/1 100/1
Out of her depth in juvenile hurdles last season after an unpromising Flat campaign; little apparent chance unless cheekpieces make a big difference.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Voice Of Northeast
Age 4 · 9-6
68000-
43
62
4
9-6
100/1 50/1 100/1
Placed in a claimer early last season; has failed to make his presence felt in four handicap attempts.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

16
Marians Gal
Age 6 · 9-0
15-432
62
69
6
9-0
11/2 7/2 9/2
Worth considering on her winter AW form; made the frame in four of her five races after a breakthrough win in November; needs to step up on modest turf form; her regular rider claims a valuable 7lb.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Shakita
Age 4 · 9-0
/8988-
35
50
4
9-0
40/1 50/1 40/1
Weak form over hurdles when last seen; 50-1 when in rear at Thurles last October on only handicap start on Flat.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

18
Bang Po
Age 6 · 8-10
8-0090
41
62
6
8-10
66/1 FCST 50/1
Nothing of any substance in his form since a 2023 Killarney win; struggling this year on AW; same at Gowran last time.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

20
Masego
Age 4 · 8-10
0/0-55
45
59
4
8-10
9/2 15/2 4/1
Showed some promise when fourth in a juvenile hurdle at Listowel last September; two fifth placings over different trips at Gowran last month were mildly encouraging; needs to find more.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Tassarolo 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
0 Creative Dancer 8/1 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 8/1 Bet365
3 Church Mountain 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
4 Felicity Smoak 22/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 William Hill
5 Autocrat 10/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 23.00 9/1 open 23.00 9/1 open 23.00 9/1 open 23.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Numidia 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
6 Amavasya 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Eastern Wind 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
8 Jurality 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.00 7/2 Bet365
8 Trishuli River 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
10 Maxwell Smart 15/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 15/2 Bet365
11 Vivacious Lady 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 Bet365
13 Real Petite 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 Bet365
14 Voice Of Northeast 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365
16 Marians Gal 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365
17 Shakita 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Coral
18 Bang Po 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 Bet365
20 Masego 9/2 open 9.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 9.00 4/1 open 8.50 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Marians Gal

Low conviction

Marians Gal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Kevin Michael Smith Julian Pietropaolo(7)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Masego

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Ms Margaret Mullins
✓ Value Signal

Numidia

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Peter Lawlor
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
24 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +1.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 16. Marians Gal
43.1 11/2
2 20. Masego
41.6 9/2
3 8. Jurality
41.5 7/2
4 8. Trishuli River
41.4 17/2
5 5. Autocrat
40.2 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Marians Gal
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 5 · 9-4
7/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

20
Age 4 · 8-10
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

16
Age 6 · 9-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-10
15/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 6 · 9-11
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 6 · 9-12
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 4 · 9-11
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 7 · 9-10
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Age 5 · 9-10
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Marians Gal
Confidence: Medium

Marians Gal leads the field with SR 62 and is trading at 4/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-0 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Marians Gal, Autocrat, Trishuli River, Jurality, Masego
Each-way: Autocrat Danger: Trishuli River

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting