York 16:40 RESULTED
Class 3 15 May 2026

Friday 15 May Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap

Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap · 5f

1748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fortification (GB) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison
    40/1
  2. 16/1
  3. 12/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Newmarket

13:22–17:25 · 8 races

York

13:45–17:15 · 7 races

Newbury

14:08–18:10 · 8 races

Aintree

16:35–20:40 · 8 races

Kilbeggan

16:45–20:15 · 7 races

Leopardstown

17:05–20:30 · 7 races

Hamilton

17:30–21:00 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 17 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Chairmanfourtimes
Age 3 · 9-11
3210-7
74
95
3
9-11
66/1 33/1 40/1
Last season's standout performance was a 12-1 Listed win at Ayr (5f) in September on his sole encounter with soft ground; however, that performance has been an outlier and he's on a tough mark judged on the rest of his form; gelded since latest start last month.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Believeinmenow
Age 3 · 9-10
94-422
84
77
3
9-10
SP FCST 25/1
0-8 but he's gone close on his last two starts, most recently a head second of 14 at Beverley (5f, good to soft); also effective on good ground; up in grade today but has each-way possibilities once more.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Nuevo Slovo
Age 3 · 9-10
6167-
68
90
3
9-10
40/1 40/1 33/1
Won at Ayr (5f, good) last April on second start before creditable sixth in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot (5f, good to firm); just one run since, when mid-division in Listed race at Fairyhouse (6f, yielding) in September, and sold for 34,000gns since; may be best watched on stable debut.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Sir Alfie
Age 3 · 9-6
100-89
68
90
3
9-6
80/1 FCST 66/1
Two wins last summer for Ger Lyons; however, he's been a long way below his best on his last four starts, the first two for Charles Byrnes and the latest two for this yard; transformation needed in first-time tongue-tie.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Hanney Girl silks
Hanney Girl
Age 3 · 9-7
256-75
78
75
85
3
9-7
25/1 40/1 22/1
Two wins from her 11 starts, both last summer; took a step back in the right direction with 2l fifth of 17 at York (5f, good) last Friday and she's back down in grade today; also effective on soft ground; one to consider.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Stargazed
Age 3 · 9-5
6415-
73
92
3
9-5
20/1 11/1 16/1
Close fourth at Beverley (5f, good to firm) last July on second start and comfortable win at Ripon (5f, good to soft) later that month; fifth in Group 3 at Longchamp (5f, very soft) in August and off since; her attractive pedigree provides optimism that she will have more to offer for her top yard.
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Kinnalargy
Age 3 · 9-4
91374-
77
94
3
9-4
9/1 13/2 9/1
Ran five times last year, winning a novice at Redcar (5f, good to firm) last June and showing good pace when fourth of 15 on nursery debut at Doncaster (6f, good) when last seen in September; gelded since; the drop back to 5f could be a positive on his reappearance and he's a possible player.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Eternal Solace silks
Eternal Solace
Age 3 · 9-2
5-3260
83
72
94
3
9-2
14/1 FCST 12/1
Won two of her first three starts as a juvenile and also went close in a 6f AW handicap in November off today's mark; however, this season is proving more complicated and she was said never to have travelled over 5f at Newmarket recently; now goes in cheekpieces with work to do.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Desert Treasure silks
Desert Treasure
Age 3 · 9-5
11-0
81
76
86
3
9-5
7/2 4/1 7/2
2-2 last year, both wins in July; absent since but has potential off her opening mark
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Arduis Invicta
Age 3 · 9-2
366-06
71
94
3
9-2
9/1 11/1 17/2
It's possible 6f suits better but some of last autumn's good nursery/Listed form came at 5f and she was beaten only 2l from a wide draw when sixth of 12 at Chester (6f, good) last Wednesday; not ruled out each-way.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Shes Got A Brother
Age 3 · 9-1
11
78
90
3
9-1
14/1 9/1 14/1
Comfortably won on debut at Southwell (5f, AW) last month and again made all in a novice there (5f) since; she's a likeable prospect and it will be no surprise if she proves to be on a good mark on handicap debut.
AI verdict

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Entailed
Age 3 · 8-13
6346-3
76
93
3
8-13
17/2 9/1 8/1
Unplaced in both nurseries for Andrew Balding and sold for 27,000gns last October; however, she was an encouraging third of 14 at 50-1 on her stable and seasonal debut at Thirsk (5f, good) four weeks ago and could build on that run today; one of two fillies for the yard; interesting contender.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Naana's Shadow
Age 3 · 8-10
221-61
88
96
3
8-10
14/1 16/1 14/1
5f AW novice winner for Alice Haynes last October; suffered interference on stable debut last month then comfortably made all in a handicap at Catterick (5f, good) subsequently; today's company is considerably hotter but she could still be well treated up 5lb; on the shortlist.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Call Margot
Age 3 · 8-9
57-521
82
75
3
8-9
14/1
She's improved with each of her three runs for this yard and did well to defy a tricky passage to win at Southwell (5f, AW) last month; based on that evidence a 6lb rise may well not stop her this afternoon, and the expected strong gallop will be a positive for this headstrong filly.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Von Trotter
Age 3 · 8-7
22-2
84
97
3
8-7
12/1 22/1 12/1
Runner-up late last year on first two starts (6f/5f, AW) and filled the same position in a maiden at Southwell (5f, AW) two months ago; has improved with each run and further progress is possible but necessary in a warm contest on his handicap debut.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Storm Esme silks
Storm Esme
Age 3 · 8-12
101-70
74
86
94
3
8-12
40/1 22/1 33/1
2-3 last year; soundly beaten on reappearance last month but may have needed the run
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Fortification silks
Fortification
Age 3 · 8-8
1-3241
85
81
100
3
8-8
40/1 33/1 28/1
Sprang a 40-1 C&D surprise last week on first start since leaving Archie Watson, finishing fast to lead late on; now 4lb higher but he hasn't had much racing and there may be better still to come.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Chairmanfourtimes 66/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 66/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
2 Believeinmenow 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 Bet365
2 Nuevo Slovo 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Sir Alfie 80/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 80/1 Bet365
3 Hanney Girl 25/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 41.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Stargazed 20/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
6 Kinnalargy 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 Coral
8 Eternal Solace 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Desert Treasure 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Coral
9 Arduis Invicta 9/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 10/1 Coral
10 Shes Got A Brother 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
13 Entailed 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Coral
15 Naana's Shadow 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
17 Call Margot 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365
18 Von Trotter 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 Bet365
19 Storm Esme 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
20 Fortification 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Von Trotter

Speculative

Von Trotter owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (45). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

12/1 Michael & David Easterby Joanna Mason
62% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Desert Treasure

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Fortification

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Brian Ellison
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +9.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 18. Von Trotter
50.2 12/1
2 8. Desert Treasure
49.9 7/2
3 9. Arduis Invicta
49.5 9/1
4 6. Kinnalargy
48.9 9/1
5 10. Shes Got A Brother
48.1 14/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Naana's Shadow
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-5
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 8-13
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

18
Age 3 · 8-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-1
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

15
Age 3 · 8-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 3 · 8-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-5
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Naana's Shadow
Confidence: Medium

Naana's Shadow leads the field with SR 88 and is trading at 18/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-10 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Naana's Shadow, Storm Esme, Believeinmenow, Von Trotter, Call Margot
Each-way: Storm Esme Danger: Believeinmenow

🗺 The Course Class 3

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
17 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade